The recently depressed market gave me pause to examine the 'Great Eight' stocks we cover at BloggingStocks. There are no bargains yet, but there are some very interesting developments in their fundamentals:
1) TWX has a very low price-to-book ratio.
2) GE has powerful products to sell -- literally: aircraft and standby power engines, water resource management and equipment. Plus it has a strong dividend.
3) WMT has a very low price-to-sales ratio.
4) GOOG has an extraordinary return on invested capital (ROIC).
Here's my take on all eight stocks:
EBAY: No. Again, by any metric you choose -- P/E, P/S, price to book value, price to cash flow -- it is expensive and has no dividend. Positive notes: No debt., ROE & ROIC is good, profit margins are great and might be sustainable. Great possibilities, but plenty of questions.
GE: Maybe. Metrics are average. Positive notes: dividend is very strong, profit margins are great and sustainable. A bargain? No. But worth watching? Yes!
GOOG: No. Another one that by any metric you choose -- P/E, P/S, price to book value, price to cash flow -- is expensive and no dividend. Positive notes: No debt., ROE & ROIC is fantastic, profit margins are great and might be sustainable. But for how long and should you play a guessing game?
MSFT: Not Yet Folks. Very mixed metrics -- P/E average, but P/S, P/B & P/cash flow overly high. Positive notes: some dividend, tons of cash (give more to shareholders, Steve), No debt., ROE and ROIC is very good and profit margins are great!! But sustainable? I don't think so. The data seems to want this stock at $19 to me and I think it will hit that sometime this year. Most of the noise I hear says this stock is going up, but I see more downside pressure. So as usual, ignore the noise and stay tuned.
TWX: Maybe. Metrics are mixed -- P/E high, P/S good, price to book is very good. But why is it so low, price to cash flow high, ROE/ROIC/Profit margins low? Positive notes: some dividend, good cash flow, buying back shares, and may be very under-appreciated based on price to book of 1.25. This must have been what intrigued Carl Icahn into wanting some under appreciated parts sold off. A bargain? Perhaps. Worth watching? Yes.
WMT: Maybe. Metrics are average, with the exception of P/S which is very very low (Buffett watch), profit margins low. Positive notes: low debt, some dividend, good ROE & ROIC. Question is why buy this giant instead of an index fund?
YHOO: No. By any metric you choose P/E, P/S, Price to book value, price to cash flow its expensive, ROIC stinks --there is none, and no dividend. Positive notes: almost no debt, ROE is good. Profit margins are great and might be sustainable. But this is another guessing game.
BOTTOM LINE: Little value here--I'm still looking elsewhere.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
6-07-2006 @ 2:02PM
Ken Campbell said...
Apple still has the potential of capturing music for the next decade. That must be worth a huge premium. Next, it is my prediction that early fall sales of the computers will go up 5 or more percent - capturing and hold a bigger share of a very competitive market.
6-09-2006 @ 4:53AM
Peter G. Lojack said...
The Biggest DOW bargain by far is PG Procer and Gamble. Currently selling $10 below its 52 week high and close to its initial acquistion price of the Gillette Company, PG is set to dramatically improve sales and earnings due to Gillette FUSION contributions to strong earnings supported by favroable currency exchange. PG gets 70% of its sales from overseas. I Exoect a VERY strong q2 earnings report. PG's Food, Cleaning and Toiletry brands are also recession proof.
6-09-2006 @ 11:21AM
joe sims said...
I ditto comments by Peter Lojack on P & G. I am an executive recruiter for over 20 years and know that this company has the best products and smartest managers in consumer goods. no one is close a past, present and future winner joe sims
6-10-2006 @ 10:48AM
andy gervais said...
good job
6-11-2006 @ 2:54PM
Jay Garlick said...
I cant believe the comments on this board. Rule one to investing is never fight the fed. Accrost the board short then when the fed is done Buy. That has saved me thousands and made me thousands. Jay
6-12-2006 @ 1:37PM
Guenter Schmidt said...
I think CAT is a steal at the current price. Moving soil is the future of our globe and the future of cat.