Investors in Google, Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) and Yahoo!, Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) as well as potential investors, must get their hands on the October 2, 2006 issue of Business Week ASAP. The cover article by Brian Grow and Ben Elgin, "Click Fraud: The Dark Side of Online Advertising," examines widespread abuses in online advertising. The article examines and explains various illegal techniques used to generate bogus traffic that leads to increased ad revenues. Part of Yahoo and Google's amazing growth trends have been propelled by an explosion in the magnitude of online adveritsing. Turns out, some of that growth was artifically generated. When this article becomes widely publicized, and it will, expect shares of Google and Yahoo to take a dive at least temporarily until more refined fraud detection measures are in place. The number of clicks will no longer be used as a reliable rubric for measuring Web site traffic.
By 2010, spending on online advertising is forecast to top $29 billion. As the stakes get higher, the scams will get more ubiquitous. In addition to investigating online advertising fraud, "Click Fraud" also explains various current methods for generating bogus responses to online ads. Click fraud generates illegitimate revenue for the Web site carrying the ad. People or clickers are hired simply to click the ad and get a small portion of the revenue generated. They are not in any way interested potential customers. Parked web sites are a particular problem for Google and Yahoo. These sites have little content other than Internet ads. Paid-to-read schemes hire clickers to generate fake clicks on parked Web sites. Automated fake click schemes include clickbot, which uses software that produces automatic clicks on internet ads. Botnet is a collection of computers that can generate thousands of fake clicks.
Both Yahoo and Google insist the companies are aware of online advertising fraud, and that they have taken steps to reduce to size of the problem to a manageable level. Interviews with people actively participating in various types of click fraud argue otherwise. The problem is compounded by the very diffuse natureon the Internet, making it impossible to police. Several of the more daring click fraud schemes are run from China and Russia, countries with loose Internet laws.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
9-26-2006 @ 12:55PM
Gary E. Sattler said...
Don't say I didn't warn you...
Google will emerge from this one fine.
Their numbers are real.
Gary
9-27-2006 @ 7:04PM
Steve said...
"When this article becomes widely publicized, and it will, expect shares of Google and Yahoo to take a dive at least temporarily until more refined fraud detection measures are in place. The number of clicks will no longer be used as a reliable rubric for measuring Web site traffic."
No way! You make it sound like people are just hearing about click fraud for the first time. Ad clicks are Google's bread and butter so if you think they don't already have "detection measures in place" you're crazy. Their stock won't drop as a result of this article.
9-27-2006 @ 9:59PM
Dom said...
I have to agree with Steve, this article really isn't all that surprising. The biggest thing it does is put those business owners who have been living in a cave on level playing fields. what the article failed to mention is the ability for advertisers to cap the monthly expenditures. It referenced one company that spent $100K from ads. My questions is where was management at this time.
As a manager, if i seen an expenditure of $9K one month, i would question it, 12 months later it was my fault.
The article did little to address guerilla warfare amongst competitors. There have been a number of cases where one company employees people to click on rivals ads in order to drive up costs.
Finally, the article barely addressed steps taken by the advertising companies to limit click fraud. Their ability is getting better. Go figure, if not, they would lose advertising dollars...
Just my thoughts.