Top Picks 2007: Lehmann still "trusts" Penn West Energy Trust

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

Penn West Energy Trust (NYSE: PWE) is a top conservative idea for 2007 from income expert Richard Lehmann, editor of The Forbes/Lehmann Income Securities Investor. He explains, "I am a steadfast believer in the Canadian oil and gas trusts, despite the Canadian government's decision, on October 31, 2006, to begin taxing the trusts as regular corporations after 2010.

"Currently, the trusts pay out income to investors as dividends and are not taxed on the corporate level. In addition, these dividends are treated as qualified dividend income for U.S. investors and subject to the preferential 15% tax rate.

"Recent proposed changes in the Canadian tax law slammed all trusts and brought PWE down from $37 to a current price of $31. This brings the yield up to almost 12%. I like Penn West because it is one of the largest trusts, with over nine years of proven reserves and extensive holdings of unproven ones.

"They have four years to restructure their finances to offset the increase in taxes -- something that may not even come about if past lobbying efforts are any indication.

"Given that the current dividend represents only 63% of cash flow, the monthly dividend is safe from cuts down to a $50 a barrel price for oil. Investors are likely to sell shares of Penn West to lock-in tax losses in December, but I see price appreciation early in 2007 as investors buy in for the irresistible yield."