eBay's great Q4, but what's next?


Well, you know me. When things look down, I tend to point to the positive aspects, and when things are great, I point to aspects that aren't that wonderful.

So kudos eBay. Indeed. I can't say I wasn't impressed with the financial results of the fourth quarter. I wasn't surprised either along with many of you who weren't; 70% of BloggingStocks readers who voted, thought eBay Inc. (NASDAQ:EBAY) would beat estimates. Only 12% thought eBay would disappoint.

As analysts (and I) have expected, PayPal has been the crown jewel in eBay's earnings, with its revenues growing 37% in Q4. Market place wasn't bad either, growing 24%. Even Skype showed some more growth. International growth, listing growth and the share repurchase plan sure give investors more confidence too. I also liked eBay's continued listing mix shift. Meg Whitman, eBay's CEO, said eBay wants to concentrate on buyer rather than seller experience, and that's exactly what the shift is doing. Oh, hey, and raising guidance is always a good thing too.

Still, Skype isn't growing as fast as expected, definitely not fast enough to justify its hefty purchase price. As for market place, eBay's revenues were positively affected by two new game consoles offered this quarter and by a strong holiday season. Though an analyst asked, Bob Swan, eBay's CFO, couldn't put a number on how much these game consoles sales contributed to eBay's top line. So as I mentioned during the liveblog, I wonder how the results would have looked without these sales.

Two other things I would have liked differently. It's been a few quarters now that eBay benefits from a favorable exchange rate and a lower tax rate. Also, operating margins were lower this quarter. As for user metrics, I'm not that concerned about it, although several analysts do note lower active users being a concern.

So there you have it. Yes, eBay shares are gaining some 7% now (around 1:30 p.m. ET) to $32.12, and true, the day high was $33.80. But even at $33.80, eBay shares are down from their $44.64 52-week high, and are actually back to their November levels.

Last, despite my concerns, I like eBay and have confidence in its management.

Also check out some other earnings reports that we're following, and let us know what you're expecting.

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 13, 2012: 01:29 AM

Hot Stocks

General Electric

18.875-0.255(-1.33)

Alcoa

10.29-0.35(-3.29)

Apple Inc

493.42+0.25(+0.05)

Google Inc 'A'

605.91-5.55(-0.91)

Bank of America

8.07-0.11(-1.34)

Wal-Mart Stores

61.90-0.06(-0.10)

Exxon Mobil Corp

83.80-1.08(-1.27)

Ford

12.44-0.25(-1.97)

Citigroup

32.925-0.735(-2.18)

IBM

192.42-0.71(-0.37)

Yahoo

16.14+0.14(+0.88)

Starbucks

48.82-0.38(-0.77)

Microsoft

30.495-0.275(-0.89)

Home Depot

45.33+0.06(+0.13)

DailyFinance Headlines

Benzinga Headlines

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

    BioHealth Investor Headlines

    WalletPop Headlines

    DailyFinance BlackBerry App

    My Portfolios

    Track your stocks here!

    Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

    BloggingStocks Partners

    More from AOL Money & Finance

    BioHealth Investor Headlines

    Page Loaded in 1329114563685 ms.