The resurgence of 'dumb terminals' a threat to Microsoft?


"Dumb terminals" are merely screens and keyboards that retrieve and send information to and from a central server. Are employers racing all over the place to get rid of those three year-old Microsoft Corp.'s (NASDAQ:MSFT) Windows desktops that sit atop almost every employee's desk and workstation in order to install "dumb terminals?" Don't count on it for most.

This issue has risen as a competitive threat to Microsoft before (Sun Microsystems Inc. (NASDAQ:SUNW) has particularly been a huge advocate of "light desktops"), but I don't see this going anywhere soon for the majority of companies. The costs to switch out thousands of Microsoft-powered PCs to data-entry systems that don't have local storage devices (like hard drives) and local desktops (for playing solitaire, heh) may -- over time -- enable customers to save money by not having to "refresh" Windows machines every three years or so.

Here's my question -- why do Windows machines need to be "refreshed" every two or three years? I'm pretty sure that the Windows XP machines from 2001 are quite capable of running most software in 2007 (sure, with perhaps some memory upgrades and such), so why are companies so quick to replace perfectly good machines? Somebody's sales pitch is working.

[Disclosure: I own MSFT shares as of 1-31-07]

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