Chasing value: Wells Fargo


If you are looking for value in the stock market there are never a lot of choices in relation to the number of public companies available. While there should be more opportunities in a down market than in an up market, from my perspective that is not always true. In any market you are going to find, by definition, that half of the public companies are above the mean in terms of value and half are below. Among those below the mean, further analysis usually indicates that most of these stocks deserve to be there.

The following is a 10-year chart for Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE: WFC):

I have been following the stock of this company, that I do banking with (as well as others) for several years. Among the many reasons to have an interest in the stock is that one of its major shareholders is Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A and BRK.B). If Warren Buffett is buying a stock, one must take a look even if only for educational purposes. So I have been watching and not buying. As anyone can plainly see, WFC would have been worth buying at almost any point in the last ten years. Some points better than others, but all leading upward in the long run.

But I did not buy it and I certainly wish I had. It's just that the stock seemed a little pricey each step of the way, so I did not invest. I find myself in the same position today as in the past. I love the 3.1% dividend yield, the balance sheet, management and think there is still room to grow. On the other hand, I am not crazy about paying for a bank stock with a P/E over 14 and a P/S over 3, especially when its major competitors like Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC), Citigroup, Inc. (NYSE: C) and JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) all have lower multiples. Perhaps it is worth the premium. As Warren Buffett has often said, "It is better to buy a great company at a fair price than a fair company at a great price."

I will continue to watch WFC closely and next time it takes a dip I may not be in a quibbling mood over a buck one way or the other when I am looking for a long-term hold. There is always the possibility that Wells Fargo could end up merging with another bank that would allow them to tie the coasts together. That might add some additional value too. Given that the overall stock market has been moving upward for a long stretch, WFC might also be a good defensive stock to own. The 52-week range was $31.54 to $36.99. It closed today at $35.76.

Check out my other posts for BloggingStocks here.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the vice president for design and research at an architecture & planning firm.

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Last updated: February 12, 2012: 03:59 PM

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