During his career, boxing great and former heavyweight champion Joe Frazier reversed -- and ended -- many bouts in his favor with a nearly imperceptible but devastating left-cross that usually left his opponent on the boxing ring's mat. While the broadband era remains in its infancy with no doubt many permutations and evolutions up ahead, it looks like Verizon (NYSE: VZ) has landed a left-cross on cable company broadband providers with the roll-out of its FiOS fiber optic Internet service.
The Frazier fight analogy is appropriate here because like Frazier's opponents, cable companies such as Cablevision (NYSE:CVC) and Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) had taken the lead over the telecom companies with cable's faster-speed Internet technology, in some cases more than five times as fast as telecom's best product, enhanced DSL. Subsequent cable company bundling of preferred broadband/cable TV/phone services -- the triple play -- gave cable companies an even larger lead in the broadband bout by lowering per-item service prices.
But like that dreaded Frazier left-cross, Verizon's FiOS could leave the cable companies reeling and on the mat. That's because VZ's fiber optic network is expected to offer Internet speeds that are substantially faster than cable networks, with improved reliability.
Further, most economists would argue that, with few exceptions, monopolies, even if publicly regulated, do not represent the market-based system at its best, from a consumer standpoint, and the cable TV sector has done little to undermine this thesis. Inadequate customer service and large fee increases have been among the complaints voiced by consumers, who had few other service options, particularly if their house or apartment could not accommodate satellite TV service. To be sure, the free enterprise system is characterized by fits and starts, but in general, when competition is present, consumers benefit with improved services and products and more-attentive suppliers; single-source providers tend to delay this process.
Now consumers will have a viable choice with VZ's fiber optic system, and not only for cable but for high-speed Internet service as well.
The cable sector may offer a service response to a telecom-based fiber optic network. But that response may be a considerable time away, as they may need a little time to wake up, operationally-speaking, from that left-cross that put them on the mat.
Investment Category: Verizon, a major telecom operator, is investing heavily in next-generation broadband service to become a force in broadband TV and Internet services. A low-risk stock, this multi-billion-dollar, capital-intensive build out will nevertheless depress earnings for several years. Hence, investors seeking quick, large gains should not purchase VZ. The stock remains a prudent play, however, for patient investors. (Verizon's stock closed Friday at $38.41, down 3 cents, while Cablevision closed at $29.27 down 11 cents, and Comcast finished at $27.13 down 32 cents.)











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
2-26-2007 @ 2:52PM
Dennis said...
Frazier was known for his LEFT HOOK not a left cross which is thrown by a southpaw boxer. Frazier was an orthodox stance boxer not a southpaw.
2-26-2007 @ 5:05PM
Tom Meyers said...
Mr Lazzaro is pretty much on target. I think Verizon will start to see a return on the investment alot faster then the 7 years quoted. The response to the product is overwelming and should pass the amount of customers Verizon was looking to sign up. Meaning, the generation of income with reduced maintenace. Add the fact that Verizon used to trade at around $50 a share a couple of years back and still pays a very nice dividend.The next two quarter's results will be a great indicator of how good an investment Verizon is.
2-28-2007 @ 8:34AM
Dan said...
I was one of the most sceptical of the FIOS rollout. Then several friends of mine who live in Massachusetts started raving about the service,especially the all digital video service. Others loved the incredible broadband speeds. I have heard nothing but terrific responses about the FIOS and as an investor....can breathe a little easier.