AOL Money & Finance

eBay: A 'high class, high cash flow' buy

More

Bill Martin – well-known for his role as founder of the Raging Bull website – now shares his trading and investment advice in his always-intriguing FindProfit newsletter.

And while noting that his latest buy "strays a bit from our usual small-to mid-cap focus," he is nevertheless willing to "step up and buy web giant eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY)."

After watching EBAY for years, he says, "we believe that the stock now represents an attractive purchase for long-term investors."

Ne notes that the stock began underperforming in 2005 as growth in its core marketplace business slowed and Google gained operating steam. Meanwhile, he says, the stock is now over 20% below its 52-week high and equal to the levels it traded at in early 2004.

In his view, EBAY is now an "attractive growth at a reasonable price stock." He forecasts that the company should generate nearly $2 billion in free cash flow in 2007 despite, he notes, high levels of capital expenditures.

The advisor notes, "To us, EBAY increasingly looks like the kind of high-class company that Warren Buffett loves: it has a strong brand and franchise, it generates substantial returns on equity, it is positioned to grow for as far as the eye can see, and it is in a position to reinvest its cash flows at high rates of return."

At the core, he observes, EBAY's marketplace business -- which he admits is maturing -- is "a wonderful cash flow generator with powerful network effects that create defensibility." Further, he adds, even though the marketplace business is no longer the high growth machine that it once was, it should continue to grow at low double-digit rates for a long time to come.

He observers, "Where EBAY management has impressed us -- and this is where we think the overall story gains 'legs' -- is in their continued ability to make smart and timely acquisitions while leveraging its massive marketplace user base."

The first example of this, he notes, was the company's acquisition of PayPal which he says has now become a cash cow. Adding to this, he mptes os the 2006 purchase Skype, a deal that he says initially generated "tremendous investor skepticism."

Looking back on that deal one year later, he says, the acquisition of Skype now looks "genius to us."

In addition to these major acquisitions, he notes that EBAY has made a number of smaller acquisitions, such as Rent.com, Shopping.com, and StubHub. Each of these, he notes, fits into the company's marketplace focus, while "leveraging EBAY's mammoth user base and other strengths."

Martin also likes that the company holds $3.5 billion of cash and is continuing to "aggressively" buy-in stock. He says, "After purchasing $1.7 billion worth of shares in 2006, EBAY announced an additional $2 billion buyback on its last earnings call."

He considers this a "wise use of EBAY's prolific cash flows, and a reflection of the stock's attractive valuation." He concludes, "With a little luck, we believe that EBAY can deliver low to mid double-digit annual returns over the next 3-5 years, with fairly limited downside risk."

For more stock picks from the leading financial newsletter advisors, visit Steven Halpern's free daily website, TheStockAdvisors.com.

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 26, 2009: 09:25 AM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

DailyFinance Headlines

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

BioHealth Investor Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

WalletPop Headlines