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Subprime lending mess will be worse than predicted

As subprime lenders continue to face the music for lending to buyers with low credit and high risk, the situation may only get worse before it gets any better. New Century may not agree with this, but many industry pundits and mortgage hawks are thinking that 2007 may be a massive write-off in terms of effort and time wasted. Semi-proof of the coming doom-n-gloom was announced by the National Association of Realtors yesterday, who announced that the subprime mortgage situation "will weigh heavier on the U.S. real estate market than initially projected." Yep, had to see that one coming.

The twin pillars of the continuing lending industry nightmare are tightening credit standards and increased foreclosures, according to a spokesperson for the NAR. Tightening credit standards were likely to come back once greedy subprime lenders actually realized that low and behold, economic conditions and housing markets may, gasp, change and may make foreclosures rise. In turn, credit standards go back to where they've been from a traditional lending perspective and those considered in the subprime market start getting squeezed out.

On lighter news (heh), the group also stated that new home sales are now expected to plummet 14.2% while existing home prices are expected to drop 0.7% after a slight rise at the start of 2006. In other words, the housing market in this existing cycle peaked somewhere before the middle of 2005. Ever since, the slide has been visible but only slightly pronounced. Now, it is in full swing.

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Last updated: October 07, 2008: 08:27 PM

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