Trade idea on AMR upgrade


AMR Corporation (NYSE: AMR) opened at $25.60. So far today the stock has hit a low of $25.60 and a high of $26.80. As of 2:15, AMR is trading at $26.53, up $1.15 (4.5%).

After hitting a one year high of $41.00 in January, the stock has trickled downward over the past four months. Soleil upgraded the airline industry as a whole today, and specifically American Airlines, from hold to buy, giving shares a boost. Also mentioned was Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL). Oil futures, which are finally relaxing somewhat over the past two weeks are also helping airline stocks. Recent technical indicators for AMR have been bearish but improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bull-put credit spread below the $20 range. AMR hasn't been below $20 since September and has shown support around $24. This trade could be risky if fuel prices rise again, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock formed around $20 in August.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. Do you have any deadwood in your portfolio? Check out the 18 Warning Signs That Tell You When To Dump A Stock. DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in AMR or CAL.
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Last updated: February 12, 2012: 04:02 PM

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