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Weekly inventory numbers push oil lower

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This week's inventory report from the Energy Information Administration showed big jumps in both oil and gasoline inventories which has in turn applied downward pressure on oil prices. After larger than expected inventory gains the price of oil has now fallen by $1.02 today to $62.15.

But what is bad news to oil investors comes as positive news to those struggling to keep up with the price of gasoline. Analysts had been expecting to see gasoline inventories rise by about 1.1 million barrels last week but we were treated to a nice surprise jump of 1.7 million barrels.

One of the big reasons for the current record high gasoline prices has been the lack of refinery production over the last couple of months so it is definitely good news to see inventories rising faster than expected. But they are still operating a bit under where analysts had been hoping to see. Production rose to 89.5% capacity last week, which was a rise of about 0.5% over the previous week, but still slightly under the 90% output that analysts had thought we would be seeing.

Oil inventories showed an increase of one million barrels while analysts had been expecting to see a jump of 100,000 barrels.

So hopefully we are seeing a trend that will ultimately lead to gasoline prices stabilizing. I still don't think that we are going to be seeing prices retreating anytime soon with the summer driving months coming up fast, but I do believe that prices should begin to level off. Now that the refineries are getting back up to speed things should slowly start to get back to normal.

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 11:36 PM

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