A world of rising long-term rates


Lately, commentators have noted that U.S. long-term interest rates are on the rise. As of today, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note is hovering just below its late-January closing peak of 4.89%.

Yet this is not a purely domestic phenomenon. The same also holds true for bond markets around the world.

In each of seven selected international markets -- Europe, Switzerland, United Kingdom, Japan, Canada, Australia, and Hong Kong -- 10-year interest rates are at or near 2007 peaks. In four of them -- Europe, Switzerland, United Kingdom, and Australia -- long-term yields are not far off 12-month highs.

Amid signs that many central banks outside the U.S. are also poised to boost short-term rates in their own countries, some might say that the monetary environment is becoming less supportive for share prices.

So much for excess global liquidity?

Michael Panzner is a 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets and the author of Financial Armageddon: Protecting Your Future from Four Impending Catastrophes and The New Laws of the Stock Market Jungle: An Insider's Guide to Successful Investing in a Changing World.

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