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Parents rejoice! Heelys won't be cool much longer

By the power vested in me by AOL, its corporate parent Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), and those associated with the above entities, I declare the Heelys Inc. (NASDAQ: HLYS) fad to be over.

Mr. and Mrs. America, you will no longer be forced to dodge hordes of tweens flying around the mall in their God-awful and unsafe wheeled sneakers thanks to my sinister and cunning plan. I am urging my fellow thirty-something suburbanites to buy Heelys and roll on them in public. Once kids see how dorky we look "heelying," they will surely give up their expensive, trendy footwear, which they will grow out of sooner rather than later.

Perhaps the market is anticipating my plan. Shares of Heelys, which was one of the most highly touted IPOs last year, have slumped about 3% this year. Parents everywhere should rejoice. The company, unlike Crocs Inc. (NASDAQ:CROX), is a one-trick pony, and fads do eventually end.

Though the company recently posted better-than-expected results, there were some signs that worried investors. For one thing, gross margins fell to 35.4% in the three months ended March 31, compared with 36% during the year-earlier period. The company attributed the decline in part to an increase in estimated reserves for returns. Sites such as Model's and Sneakerland.com are offering free shipping on some Heelys models. Plus big shareholders are starting to sell off.

These aren't good signs for a company that gets 98% of its sales from one pretty pricey product. Some models cost more than $80. Crocs has a much broader array of products at differing price points, which will make that fad more sustainable than Heelys. Plus, many businesses don't allow people to "heel" on their premises for fear of lawsuits. Kids are supposed to wear protective gear with their Heelys, but I haven't seen many do so.

Though my colleague Georges Yared recently labeled Crocs as the next Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE), I'm going to need more proof before I'm willing to jump aboard that bandwagon. CEO Ronald Snyder recently unloaded some of his holdings. Snyder's move is understandable since Crocs shares have almost doubled this year. The Heelys sales are more problematic.

But if Heelys starts to spin its wheels financially, it's likely that a private equity company would be interested in acquiring it for the brand name alone. Heelys still means something to kids even if it continues to send chills up the spines of their parents.

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Last updated: October 13, 2008: 02:34 PM

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