Upon occasion, earnings reports are studies in how to put lipstick on a pig. So it is refreshing, albeit confusing, to read that Enerplus Resources Fund (NYSE: ERF) senior management believes the company is "essentially meeting our expectations." By all means, don't gush. It takes a fair amount of due diligence to turn up information on this thinly covered Canadian oil and gas exploration and drilling company. Those analysts that do track the stock recommend holding if you already own, but don't sell because you never know, yet certainly don't buy.
Thus far, the only attractive feature I have found with this stock is that it pays a monthly, rather than quarterly, dividend. Other than that, the numbers are not in its favor. Net income was down somewhat, while operating costs were up slightly to Canadian $8.53 BOE (barrel of oil equivalent), as was long-term debt. Gas production was up slightly but crude oil production was down and the number of wells drilled also declined, so crude oil production is likely to stay in decline for the next few quarters. The company spent $240 million on acquisitions in both the US and the Canadian oil sands in Alberta province. The company paid Canadian $61 million for natural gas fields in Wyoming and Canadian $182.5 million for oil sands in Alberta. Capital spending is stable but high at Canadian $415 million. Like most oil and gas exploration companies, Enerplus Resources Fund is hit with increasing higher costs to acquire assets and much higher costs to get oil and gas out of the ground. Additionally, recent Canadian legislation to control greenhouse gas emissions will add over Canadian $1 per produced barrel of oil equivalent, further eating into profits. One factor in its favor is that Enerplus currently controls 443 million BOE in potential reserve, with an additional 57 million BOE in probable reserves. The Alberta oil sands have the potential to produce 60,000 BOE per day for 10 years, or about $3 billion in future development, but at what price economically and environmentally?











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
6-18-2007 @ 11:13AM
Charles Read said...
Madam:
ADP does not even come close to having a lock on the payroll processing business in this country. There are hundreds of small processors nibbling at its heels. There is no doubt it is the largest and on of the most profitable. But to say it has a lock on the industry would be to tell all CPA's if they don't work for the big 4 accounting firms they have no chance to make a living and to grow an accounting business.
Further ADP's systems are antiquated and do not evolve easily to changes in the environment, leaving it vulnerable to small business with nimble programmers, state of the art software and up to date systems.
Second it is not hard to enter the industry. A person can set up a payroll service bureau with a cell phone and some business cards. There are services like www.payroll-sales.com that will be their back office and share revenue. Total cost to start a service bureau, less than $50.00.
ADP continues to buy up small service bureaus on a regular basis. That accounts for a lot of their growth. The market for payroll services grows on an almost continuous basis.
ADP spends millions advertising the benefits of outsourcing payroll to the eternal gratitude of all the small service bureaus that get the customers when ADP service fails, as it is tends to do with a huge company dealing with mom and pop businesses.
ADP along with Ceridian may have the Fortune 100,000 sewn up. I will settle for the other 5,900,000 small and medium business payrolls in this country.
Regards,
Charles J. Read
President, Custom Payroll Associates, Inc.
www.custompayroll.com
www.payrollonabudeget.com
6-18-2007 @ 11:29PM
Robert Goldschmidt said...
This analysis leaves the single most important factor out, the fact that every oil company in the world has these very same problems, except in spades. This means that the price of oil will inexorably increase to more than cover the increase in expenses.
Sell ERM when electric cars make up more than 20% of worldwide auto sales.