According to The National Association of Realtors, existing home sales fell again during May to the lowest level in the past four years. This news should really come as no surprise as the sub-prime mortgage problems continue to weigh down the ailing housing market.
As the number of existing home sales falls, so does the average price for homes in the market. Last month was the 10th straight month of falling home prices, and there really is no sign that this trend is likely to reverse any time soon. So, on the bright side, for all of you looking to buy a new house, the home of your dreams is getting more and more affordable each passing month.
The average price for an existing home across America is now only $223,700. This represents a 2.1% drop from last year.
A few years back it was definitely a sellers market, with prices shooting through the roof. Those days are gone. It has been a long time since I heard any of my friends bragging about how much money they just made flipping their most recent home purchase.
Sure, plenty of people made many thousands of dollars selling their old properties at inflated values, but only the smart ones will come out ahead in the deal. Many people out there sold property and then used their money to buy even more expensive property that they had assumed at the time they would be able to sell a couple years down the road for even greater gains. Sadly, many of these people are now feeling the pinch of variable interest rates, while foreclosures are rising at an alarming rate.
A couple weeks back, Jonathan Berr pointed out that there is an estimated $2 trillion worth of adjustable rate mortgages that are due to reset at higher interest rates in the next few years. With foreclosures climbing 90% during May, you have to wonder just how bad things are going to get once the $2 trillion of adjustable loans reset. It could get mighty ugly, and if I had to guess, I would say that sales and prices are definitely headed lower in the latter part of this year.
How low can they go? Right now your guess is as good as mine. For all the sellers in the market, it has definitely been a tough couple of months. For everyone else who is looking to buy a first home, things have never looked rosier. Hang in there a little while longer -- your dream house is definitely headed down into your price range.
For information on the status of new housing start ups (which are running 24.2% below this time last year), be sure to visit my article last week that discussed what builders reported in May. Here is a hint . . . with builder confidence running at the lowest levels in the past 16 years, it's not a pretty picture.
Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last two years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
6-26-2007 @ 10:54PM
kluji said...
I can not wait for prices to PLUNGE.....don't take me wrong..i own a home...BUT...i want a ski condo and will ONLY do so if i get the deal of a lifetime. I want it at blow out prices...i want to be at the auction block for a nice ski in ski out condo out West somewhere (utah, colorado etc) in powder country....i just want a condo...easy to maintain...right now i think it will be 3 to 5 yrs away before i get that chance.....but i will of course adjust that time frame as the future keeps on unraveling.....it could be sooner...it could be a little longer...either way i am ready...mid upper 40's in age now and don;t mind doing this in my early 50's either....i am just gonna be patient and let the squeeze play happen naturally.....no rush!!!
8-26-2007 @ 2:46PM
webcosmo.com said...
This is true that prices will fall more. With lot of foreclousures, people trying to sell not finding a buyer will lead to price drop. But when it reaches to that point, real estate people will jump into buying making the prices hike up some more. It will be lot of chaos in upcoming days.
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