Now that Blackstone (NYSE: BX) has bought Hilton (NYSE: HLT) for $26 billion, The Wall Street Journal is asking [subscription required] whether Marriott (NYSE: MAR) and Starwood (NYSE: HOT) might be next.
The question is reasonable. Hilton has outperformed the other two companies in the stock market over the last two years, with its shares up 50%. Some of that is due to recent takeover speculation.
Marriott's shares are up only 30% over that period and Starwood's only 15%. All three companies have market caps in the $15 billion to $20 billion range, so none is so large as to be outside the financial ability for a private equity firm to take them over.
But, Starwood may make the easier target. Marriott is still controlled by its founding family while Starwood has had a bit of musical chairs in its executive suite. The company's CEO left in April.
Starwood has had virtually no growth in revenue over that last four quarters, and had low operating income in its last reported quarter. If private equity interests think they can improve that, the company becomes an attractive candidate.
Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.
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