Find your next home with Luxist's "Estate of the Day"

AOL Money & Finance

Goldman Sachs: still a buy, but take precautions

More

Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is a very interesting name is one of the more interesting names in the market right now. The company certainly isn't overvalued despite its impressive growth in recent years, brilliant management team, and solid performance in both the banking and trading worlds. The stock's recent hit due to the subprime debacle is overdone and I consider it to have created a buying opportunity.

Goldman Sachs is considered the cream of the crop when it comes to investment banking and trading. Every trader and investment banker to-be aspires to become part of Goldman Sachs, usually starting in his sophmore or junior year of college. For most kids this dream remains a dream, but for some it becomes a reality. It's not a coincidence that those who become part of this company are usually the best and the brightest finance students from around the world.

Consequently, it should come as no surprise that Goldman is consistently rated among the best and most prestigious firms around. The firm's investment bank performs incredibly well because companies tend to trust Goldman's advice. In addition, Goldman is usually very useful when companies are looking for potential acquirers because of Goldman's deep base of contacts, many of which are former employees (more on this below).

Goldman's traders are also notorious on Wall Street. After speaking to many people currently on Wall Street, it seems like the prevailing wisdom to explain this phenomenon is the fact that Goldman still has a "culture" behind it, whereas firms like Citigroup (NYSE: C) have destroyed the culture of once-notorious Solomon Brothers (think: Liar's Poker). Many of the firm's traders are "proprietary traders" which means they trade Goldman's own capital, whereas many "traders" at other big banks simply act as market makers, filling orders without much risk or the potential for significant profits. As a result of this prevalence of proprietary traders, many have began considering Goldman to be a hedge fund of sorts.

Goldman's management team and employee base is loyal, committed and aggressive. Its current CEO, Lloyd Blankfein, was a stellar trading before rising through the ranks of management -- he knows how to make money. The firm's employees are also noticeably loyal. While many i-bankers and traders routinely move around from bank to bank, Goldman employees tend to stick to Goldman unless they have a much greater opportunity, like moving to the buy-side or starting their own firm. But what's interesting about this is that many former Goldman employees turn to the firm for services such as prime brokerage, help in selling their new fund, and the like. As a result, when Goldman loses an employee it's usually not a true loss for the company.

Despite all these benefits, Goldman is still trading in-line with its industry -- JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) trades for nearly 11x earnings, Goldman trades for 10x earnings, Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) trades for 9x earnings, Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) trades for 10.5 earnings and Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) trades for 10x earnings. While this portrays the stock as being fairly-valued, I still consider the stock undervalued because I believe it's a much better company than the wide majority of its competitors.

But this story is still not without its risks because I believe the financials sector could come under pressure in the next couple of months. Investment banking fees are going to begin suffering as the private equity bubble begins wearing down and many firms might be forced to begin taking losses on "bridge loans" that they are offering private equity firms, and so on. Even if Goldman is not directly involved with these issues, the stock could still be hit if bad news begins surfacing throughout the industry. Therefore, it makes sense for investors to try and protect themselves, perhaps by purchasing December puts on the Vanguard Financials ETF (AMEX: VFH).

Although paying about the industry average for Goldman Sach's stock, investors are receiving far more than average. They are getting the most prestigious investment bank, some of Wall Street's best traders, and a large base of committed employees and former employees. Even though the stock is up big in the last year, it still has much more room to run.

Add your comments

Please keep your comments relevant to this blog entry. Email addresses are never displayed, but they are required to confirm your comments.

When you enter your name and email address, you'll be sent a link to confirm your comment, and a password. To leave another comment, just use that password.

To create a live link, simply type the URL (including http://) or email address and we will make it a live link for you. You can put up to 3 URLs in your comments. Line breaks and paragraphs are automatically converted — no need to use <p> or <br /> tags.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+38.698,319.43
NASDAQ-8.901,787.62
S&P 500+1.44897.86

Last updated: July 06, 2009: 04:01 PM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

DailyFinance Headlines

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

BioHealth Investor Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

WalletPop Headlines