Whenever the market turns bearish, investors dole out severe punishments to stocks for misdemeanor violations. This would be like sending someone to Guantanamo Bay for a traffic ticket. Yesterday's hero often turns into today's goat on Wall Street. The trick is figuring out which stocks deserve a second chance. Here are my five choices.
- Comcast Corp. (NASDAQ: CMCSA) -- The no. 1 cable operator has made the foolish decision in the eyes of Wall Street of investing in its business. Its capital spending will be about $5.7 billion this year, which isn't surprising really since it's adding about 6,000 new workers and building a new swanky corporate headquarters in Philadelphia. Earlier this week, Comcast reported earnings that didn't blow away Wall Street expectations but they weren't to sneeze at either. The company's digital voice business is booming even though the basic video business is not.
- Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) -- Yeah, the world's largest oil company's earnings didn't meet expectations. But consider that the culprit was lower-than-expected natural gas price. Even the biggest tree hugger in the world should realize that is something that even Exxon Mobil can't control. I know people often accuse the oil companies of being in cahoots with one another. Have you ever met an oil executive? These guys can't agree on lunch let alone price fixing.
- AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) -- Sometimes the market just reacts stupidly as it did with the supposed shortfall of iPhone activation rates that pounded AT&T earlier this week.. Did anyone notice that the company had a great quarter otherwise with a 61 percent increase in profit? The company is going to remain a formidable competitor.
- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) -- If anyone can weather the subprime crisis and a downturn in buyouts, its Jamie Dimon. The man is a fanatic about costs. Let's not forget that the company's investment banking business in on a tear with a 41% gain in the most recent quarter. Jim Cramer is right that the financial stocks are in for a rough go of it, but this company is a keeper for investors with a long-term horizon.
- United Technologies Corp. (NYSE: UTX). -- This one is a real head scratcher folks. United Technologies posted a solid quarter beating analysts' estimates for profit and sales. It even raised guidance but the shares still got pounded. What exactly did United Technologies do wrong?
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
7-28-2007 @ 9:44PM
Jim Fisher said...
I have to concur with this opinion. Many years ago a stock broker told me that "when the cops raid the place, they take the nice girls and the bad girls in the paddy wagon." I believe there is a certain amount of "hot" money in conservative investments such as utilities. When panic spreads, people sell even utilities. Many peo[ple tend to be irrational in both up and down markets.
7-28-2007 @ 9:57PM
Beltway Greg said...
The mullahs at Exxon-Mugger didn't meet their number because the price of natural gas was too low? I guess that means they're going to pass the savings on to us the consumer. Well, not quite. More than likely they beat earnings expectations but were afraid to admit considering that the oil monopoly is helping to push us into recession. How about taking some of that hard earned cash (ha ha) and build some refineries. No, bad idea? Why? Oh, right, the price of gas would tumble. Standard Oil never had it so good.
At approx. $40 billion a year Exxon could give the US free gas for something like 30 days and still break even. Gas at approx. $3.00/gallon. Consumption at 346 millions of gallons/day. I wonder if executives from Exxon were in that meeting Cheney had at the start of the first term that he has fought so assiduiously to keep private? Just askin'.
Beltway Greg
"Gettin' down and dirty so you don't have to."
7-30-2007 @ 8:23PM
Linda Govenick said...
Hello, I watched and read all the garbage about Bernard Ebbers via the paper, internet, TV, etc...
Well, I lost 1/4 million + 1000 shares of stock. That amounted to my entire retirement. Did I get any money back? Not a penny! Am I angry? No! Wouldn't do any good. The attorneys got the majority of the dollars. That was a no-brainer.
The way I looked at it was like this. I have known BJE for almost 20 years. He had been in many business ventures and had more than one opportunity to steal from them and set up fake profits, when the companies were smaller, without getting busted. Being a private company, he had much more control of what went on because he didn't have Board of Directors, stock holders, and the entire world looking over his shoulders. Why would he wait until everyone was watching him? Didn't make much sense to me.
What happened, in my opinion, was Scott Sullivan wanted to look good to Bernie so he invented stuff. It was easy to say, "I did what Bernie said to do". That's called CYA. If no one found out about his scams, well, he would have looked wonderful to Bernie and the rest of the outside world. But he got busted and pit the blame elsewhere, aka "scapegoating". He didn't want a long term prison stay and a new boyfriend. So, he planned and plotted, testified for the government and got a MUCH less sentence than BJE. He will pay for his (mis)deed. Upstairs!! I doubt he will make it upstairs.
I write to BJE and he told me "AS GOD AS MY WITNESS I KNEW NOTHING ABOUT WHAT WAS GOING ON OR I WOULD HAVE PUT A STOP TO IT LONG AGO! I believe him. He was the perfect one to go down. Lots of jealousy for the cowboy, boots, jeans, jackets, etc... Also, nothing going on in the news and what a way to get the papers sold, internet hits, news watched and opinions spoken. And talk about a ridiculous sentence...he could have killed someone and got less of a jail time. Sad thing went down. Three people know the truth about what went on. Bernie, Sullivan, and Jesus! Why should he have to spent the rest of his life in prison? He did a lot of people a lot of good!!! But, that was last weeks work...a cancelled check.
I BELIEVE BERNARD J. EBBERS WITH MY WHOLE HEART.
Thanks for listening.
Linda Governick
St Louis MO
7-29-2007 @ 11:35PM
Gene Pittenger said...
My only wish is that Exxon would take the kid gloves off and show America (the wastefull) just whose oil it is their selling.
You bunch of wastefull spoiled brats. As all your arses get fatter and fatter you continue to move away from your jobs and the city thinking oil will always be there. Well let me tell you something, as a educated geologist, oil is not easy to find.
A smart man with a couple of million and a drill rig would sell the drill rig and go play golf after putting his money into a guaranteed investment. I personally look forward to the day, maybe soon, when a gallon of gas cost $10.00
7-30-2007 @ 6:09PM
topgon said...
I agree the punishment doesn't fit the crime. The punishment is way to lenient. Example:AT&T which has reassembled itself and has all but has a monopoly of the phone business. Give them a few years and they'll own it all. All the companies listed should be broken up.