Earnings preview: Cisco Systems (CSCO)
Cisco's shares have held up quite well outside of today, with shares trying to remain above $30.00. But the challenge of the $30.00 stock hurdle goes back to January 2004. Now it has Scientific-Atlanta, Webex, and others under its umbrella. In fiscal 2004 the networking giant posted $22.04 billion in revenues and it is expected to have roughly $34.75 billion for this fiscal year (and estimated at $39.7 billion for 2008). The company has also been retiring stock in a big way, even though this last buyback announcement right before earnings seems odd timing.
The average analyst price target is now around $32.00 to $33.00. Back in January, we ran some forward valuations and the scenario that could give Cisco shares a $34.00 stock price mid-year. It is not fair to use options pricing as an estimate several days ahead of the event with erosion of time value and harder in a volatile market, but as of today it appears that options traders are prepared for the stock to move up to 3% in either direction. Cisco was also one of Jim Cramer's TOP PICKS FOR 2007.
Here is a May 8 preview I gave if you want to see any comparisons to then. Shares ended the last quarter under $27.00, so the stock is up about 11% since then ahead of today's sale.
Jon Ogg can be reached at jonogg@247wallst.com; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.









