The New York Times reports that President George W. Bush is seeking to blame the housing market collapse on excess liquidity and views the current correction as normal. What are his goals? To keep "history" from blaming him for yet another "worst U.S. President ever" accomplishment.
As a "recovering alcoholic," Bush excels at motivating other people to cover up for his inadequacies (this is known as co-dependence). For instance, when his oil company, Spectrum 7, collapsed in 1986, he got Harken Energy to bail him out through his father's political connections. In the case of the current debt-fueled economic reversal, he has gotten his Treasury Secretary, Henry Paulson and Fed Chair Ben Bernanke to repeat the talking point that the subprime collapse is "contained" and won't affect the rest of the economy.
I think Bush is responsible for the housing collapse for three reasons:
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He used home ownership to help get reelected in 2004. For example, in a March 2005 article, the conservative American Enterprise Institute argued that Bush's "Homeowner Politics" as contributing to his reelection in 2004. He touted his leadership as being responsible for the overall U.S. homeownership rate in the second quarter of 2004 rising to an all time high of 69.2%. This helped his reelection -- of the 100 fastest growing counties in the U.S. -- most of them on the fringe of bigger metro areas -- Bush captured 97 in 2004.
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The mortgage industry has contributed heavily to Bush and Congress to prevent regulation. According to Common Cause, mortgage industry lobbyists have contributed $210 million to block Congress from restricting lending abuses that contributed to the subprime contraction. Ameriquest, a big mortgage lender against which many consumer complaints have been directed, contributed $7.8 million to Bush's 2004 reelection campaign, his inauguration and to Laura Bush's library foundation.
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His policies helped us reach the current crisis. Under Bush, Alan Greenspan's interest rate cuts and support for a rise in adjustable rate mortgages helped create the crisis. And so did mortgage companies' desire to get a return on their investment in Bush. In 2004, The Nation reported on one such policy -- cutting back on rental assistance for low income families while loosening restrictions on their ability to obtain mortgages. Specifically, Bush slashed Section 8 housing vouchers, which provide rental assistance to low income families, while easing restrictions on mortgage loans.
This sounds good until you realize that it has helped contribute to two million likely home foreclosures since it created a money making opportunity for many businesses while encouraging low income households to take on mortgages they could not afford. As these low income households go back to renting, those lost rental assistance vouchers will be sorely missed.
As I posted yesterday, politicians' natural instinct is to take credit for the good news and evade responsibility for the bad. As DealBreaker reports, this bad is continuing as BNP Paribas announced that it would not redeem investors' money in three of its subprime hedge funds -- prompting this comment from an anonymous money manager: "Remember those pictures from the Great Depression? The ones where the banks had to lock their doors because depositors were rioting to withdraw their savings. That's what we've got right now" .
So when all the damage has been tallied -- which could be years from now -- I believe that policymakers should propose rules that will prevent future presidents from using loose lending to boost their reelection prospects. We owe it to our children to keep the mistakes of one president from damaging our country's future.
Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 2)
8-09-2007 @ 12:29PM
beanspants said...
if you want to blame bush for whatever your crazy mind wants, that's fine, but it's a real dick move to prescribe motives for his behaviour based on your own armchair psychology. you might need to step back from politics awhile.
8-09-2007 @ 12:35PM
T. Pletcher said...
This kind of vitriol is a major part of all that is wrong with politics these days. Hatred of one person or another creates this kind of imagination, stretch and stupidity in people who probably are not that bone-headed otherwise. Think Molly Ivans (RIP)
8-09-2007 @ 12:39PM
david said...
SO, Bush made people to buy houses that they could not afford? And your telling me that inverters didn't make bad investments?
8-09-2007 @ 12:42PM
Barbara Mihalke said...
What else to expect...Everything is Bush's fault .. from Katrina to bridge collapses etc...on and on..Naturally this is the left's mantra since he has never been considered the REAL president....I saw a woman testifying before a congressional committee...she said" I sat there and knew that the income on the application was way too high, but I was able to get the home"..come on...she was part of the fraud, but will not admit it...idiots should not own homes!!
8-09-2007 @ 1:00PM
trtel said...
Another aspect everyone seems to ignore is the pumping up of the economy with an extra 100 billion a year of funny money for the last five years. Printing all that extra cash catches up with you eventually in the form of an overheated, inflationary economy.
8-09-2007 @ 1:11PM
Robert Copeland said...
As soon as the president is in control of the federal reserve, I'll join you in blaming Bush. Until then get a life dumba**.
8-09-2007 @ 3:23PM
johnm said...
Who cares what you think? The Blame Game is just that----a big game created by idots like you. Where is good journalism? Where are the facts?
8-09-2007 @ 2:23PM
dan said...
Good info…rising credit rates are affecting the market due to the America’s over-use on credit plays a significant factor in the housing market. I recommend this report on home sales that is useful…
http://www.dailyreckoning.com/rpt/HousingReport.html
-Cheers!
8-09-2007 @ 4:15PM
bill said...
Bill Clinton personally reviewed every mortgage during his presidency to avoid problems like this. Also, since most mortgages are for 30 years he went back and looked at all the old ones to ensure that they were copasetic.
8-09-2007 @ 4:30PM
Mike said...
When are we going to learn to take personal responsibility for our own actions and quit blaming some one else. The banks made the loan terms, the borrowers took the deals and somehow Bush is to blame. I don't get it. Next thing will be bank robbers and murders blaming Bush. IT' NOT MY FAULT. BUSH MADE ME DO IT.
8-09-2007 @ 5:26PM
steve said...
WHO DID YOU BLAME IN 1957 WHEN THE SAME THING HAPPENED?
8-09-2007 @ 5:28PM
fburnette said...
if the blame does not belong on capitol hill.how do you bush lovers explain the continued abuse of mortgage lenders and services since 1999.they are robbing the american people with the blessing of the congress.by the way these abuses are not only against poor people.they do include middle income families.you know the ones who vote for the very people who will do anything to get re-elected so they dont have to get a subprime mortgage.
8-09-2007 @ 6:22PM
alex said...
Lots of negative vibe to your comments.
Strong statistics are sometimes not believed by all people.
Good documentation. Really good point.
8-09-2007 @ 9:30PM
Mr. noitall said...
Peter, again you are letting your hatred for Bush affect your thought processes. It's good to see that all of the commenters so far can recognize propaganda when they read it. You are forgetting that the readers of BloggingStocks have some intelligence, stop insulting us, please.
8-09-2007 @ 10:44PM
ANDY said...
YOU OBVIOUSLY DONT UNDERSTAND ECONOMICS 101. THE CREDIT CRISIS CAN BE BLAMED ON 2 BASIC ISSUES. FEAR AND GREED. STUPID PEOPLE FEAR WHAT THEY DONT UNDERSTAND AND GREEDY PEOPLE GAVE MORTGAGES AND LOANED MONEY TO POOR CREDIT RISKS AT HIGH INTEREST RATES AND THEN EXPECT THEM TO PAY IT BACK? DUH WHAT DO YOU THINK HAPPENS TO PEOPLE WHO LOSE THEIR JOBS AND CANT PAY IT BACK? STOP LOANING MONEY TO PEOPLE WITH BAD CREDIT AND THOSE ISSUES GO AWAY!
8-10-2007 @ 1:08AM
Stephen said...
Thank you for identifying the true origin of the housing debacle. Bush and his Texas banker buddies have all the responsibility on their shoulders and Congress knows it.
8-10-2007 @ 7:05AM
AJ said...
This article = same old same old. I sense Michael Moore lurking around somewhere. Do you think Peter wants to co-write another "expose" for the silver screen? They certainly seem to be on the same vibe-- basing their diatribe not on truth or reality, but on their hatred of Bush and conservative thought. Agree with johnm-- where are the facts and good journalism? Peter's hatchet job is useless and boring.
8-10-2007 @ 9:09AM
scott said...
What's even more disturbing then Cohen's comments is the fact there are people out there who actually believe him.
8-10-2007 @ 9:28AM
John Max said...
Someone enlighten me, as I have difficulty with macro economics. I assume a credit crisis is caused by lack of available money. Well, it seems to me that money the government put into the economy over time is still somewhere. It didn't evaporate, it is just held by different parties. As loans fail, some of the value is eaten up by foreclosure costs. This simply means some of the value is now held by lawyers, etc., and can re-enter the money cycle when it is spent or saved. Perhaps the only problem is that people who can't afford homes can't buy them. Since this seems to be a world crisis, it obviously is more complicated than I portray. Why?
8-10-2007 @ 9:34AM
Brian said...
Remember - The buck stops here! At the top that is. Whatever happens on your watch is your responsibility no matter how far down the tree it falls. The president of the company, or country, is ultimately responsible for both the good and bad that occurs during his term. If this president were in charge of a company he would have been terminated long ago for his huge errors in judgment that have been very costly in both lives and now in the economy.