The dangers of a group-thinking obsessed world

The New York Times ran an interesting piece today highlighting the scary situation in the hedge fund business, especially those dabbling in the quantitative-trading game. As I reported in an earlier post today, the poor performing quant fund managers are going to be forced to explain their poor performance to their investors during this week.

But New York Times columnist Landon Thomas Jr. did all the explaining we need -- all of the quants on Wall Street know each other and are using the same trading models. Understandably, when the sun shines for these firms nearly all of them perform incredibly well. However, as we're seeing now, when 's--t hits the fan' for one of these guys it seems like every quant is plagued with weaker performance and the like.

It should come as no surprise that this kind of group thinking leads to much greater volatility in the market. As the term 'market' implies, supply and demand are king in stock price movement. As a result of the group thinking in the marketplace at present, when one fund wants to buy it seems like five more become interested. This is great for the market when everyone is a buyer and the market is continually fueled higher. But when one fund begins selling, five more begin their sales.

If you're looking for further evidence on the pervasiveness of group thinking amongst stock market participants you don't need to look any further than the increasing popularity in "copy me" sites like StockPickr.com, which focus precisely on group thinking and becoming part of the 'smart money' herd.