Cramer digs tech, but stumped on EMC/VMware
On today's STOP TRADING! Jim Cramer said the bias has changed and they nailed the Fed call. He noted that investors can start focusing on cheap stocks again now that the sky isn't going to fall and now that the Fed isn't letting us think they are asleep. He was positive on Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB) reaching $95 again. But he really honed in on tech as his picks:
Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) is his play for the most aggressive share buyback plan in tech, and Cramer still digs Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), and Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO). Oddly enough even though he was positive on EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC), he said he is surprised that it has been been a dud since it still owns most of VMware (NYSE: VMW) after the IPO.
We aren't surprised at all on EMC, even if we think the valuations of VMware are reaching into the stratosphere. The super-low float has a lot to do with this strong performance and there just aren't enough shares for fund managers to have very much of on their books since EMC is hoarding 87% of the stock. We've seen this play book before on widely telegraphed partial spin-offs like this and VMware is really more of a tracking stock right now than they would have you believe. We just covered how Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) paid $500 million for a competitor by the name of XenSource. Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) has been invested heavily into virtualization competitors as well, so we expectthe news flow to stay steady in the sector. That is a tiny summary of why EMC is not doing as well as some of the head scratchers were hoping for. Our full newsletter this week (EMC now unemargoed) was on this exact subject.
Jon Ogg is a partner in 24/7 Wall St., publisher of 24/7 Wall St. Special Situation Investing Newsletter and does not own securities in the companies he covers.
Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) is his play for the most aggressive share buyback plan in tech, and Cramer still digs Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), and Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO). Oddly enough even though he was positive on EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC), he said he is surprised that it has been been a dud since it still owns most of VMware (NYSE: VMW) after the IPO.
We aren't surprised at all on EMC, even if we think the valuations of VMware are reaching into the stratosphere. The super-low float has a lot to do with this strong performance and there just aren't enough shares for fund managers to have very much of on their books since EMC is hoarding 87% of the stock. We've seen this play book before on widely telegraphed partial spin-offs like this and VMware is really more of a tracking stock right now than they would have you believe. We just covered how Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) paid $500 million for a competitor by the name of XenSource. Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) has been invested heavily into virtualization competitors as well, so we expectthe news flow to stay steady in the sector. That is a tiny summary of why EMC is not doing as well as some of the head scratchers were hoping for. Our full newsletter this week (EMC now unemargoed) was on this exact subject.
Jon Ogg is a partner in 24/7 Wall St., publisher of 24/7 Wall St. Special Situation Investing Newsletter and does not own securities in the companies he covers.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
8-17-2007 @ 5:47PM
BD said...
Cramer,
What happened to your Friday am prediction of recoed number increase of dow??
This is a bandaid. Sept will mean fed funds cut.
8-17-2007 @ 6:40PM
caveman said...
Check the volume. EMC's lack of upward movement isn't due to lack of demand. EMC has 20billion shares outstanding, 87% of which is held institutionally. That means 4.5 billion shares of resistance. People saw the price go up, and they dumped the shares they bought of the last 4 years at 10 - 15. and there's still lots of EMC out there. With that kind of availability, upward price mobility is tough.
8-20-2007 @ 11:40AM
Harv Treat said...
Barrons says CRACKHEAD Cramer's picks are losers! I must agree that he is corect much less than 50% of the time. I'd sure like to get paid to throw out bullshit like the loud mouth does!