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What the mortgage meltdown means to you

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News in the housing market has gone from bad, to worse, and back to bad again. Real estate and mortgage markets that are starting to stabilize after hovering on the brink of disaster during much of the summer. (Update: Housing numbers released August 24 showed an uptick in new home sales in July over June -- a positive surprise). Central banks around the world, including the U.S. Federal Reserve have bolstered a financial system crippled by excessive sub-prime lending.

Still, many experts believe the financial crisis could worsen from here, dragging more homeowners and would-be homeowners into the mess. Given all this, you are probably wondering what the mortgage meltdown means to you. Let's look at these questions:

What if you have a mortgage with a company that goes bankrupt, do you still have to pay?

    Yes. If your mortgage company files for bankruptcy, another company will take over the servicing of the mortgage. The new owner of your mortgage will expect you to pay every month. If you stop payment because you think your bankrupt mortgage company won't care, prepare for the consequences. I posted more about this here.

What happens if you're applying for a mortgage with one of these troubled mortgage companies?

    You might not qualify for a mortgage that you could have gotten a month ago. If you started the home buying process, say a month ago, and you haven't locked in a rate that you could afford, chances are good that your options have gotten worse. (Even if you have locked in a rate, the mortgage company might try to get out of the lock if there's any legal wiggle room.) That's because there's less money around for mortgages since the credit crunch started a few weeks ago. The people who get that mortgage money will be the ones willing and financially able to pay a higher rate.

Doesn't the surprise Fed rate cut on Aug. 17 mean mortgage rates will fall?

    No. The Discount Rate cut applies to borrowing by big banks. It does not help small borrowers. If the Fed had cut the Fed Funds rate, it would have helped people trying to borrow to buy a house. But that rate has not been changed.

What should I do if my mortgage rate adjusts higher and I can't afford the new payments?

    Talk to the company that services your mortgage and ask for a new payment schedule. This is a tough situation because often the company that originated your mortgage has sold it to another company -- a mortgage servicer. The mortgage servicing firm is the one that sends you your monthly bills and collects the checks you write.

    If you can't afford the new payments, try to talk with the mortgage servicing firm to ask if it can change your payment schedule. Unfortunately, the mortgage servicer might tell you that it does not have the authority to make that change.

    The owner of the mortgage might be willing to make that change. But if that owner is an institutional investor in Germany that owns your mortgage and 14,000 others as part of a mortgage-backed security, you will probably be out of luck.

I bought at the top of the market and now owe more on my home than I could sell it for. What do I do now?

    If you owe more money on your mortgage than the current market value of your home, this could make banks nervous. So do whatever you can to keep your payments current. Otherwise you could lose your home and end up renting.

How will government efforts to fix mortgage market problems help me?

It's too early too tell. According to the Wall Street Journal [subscription], Congress is in a mood to change the way the mortgage industry is regulated. But it's too early to tell whether these changes will make any difference to you now.

These changes could make it more difficult for mortgage companies to force a borrower into taking on a higher interest rate mortgage. But the changes could also limit access to mortgages for those on the lower end of the credit spectrum.

None of these ideas are even in the form of a bill on which Congress can vote or the President can sign or veto. So it's possible that nothing significant will change to help you.

Is it dumb to buy a house now with all this going on?

    Could be. With mortgage money in shorter supply, many home buying transactions will fall through. And with over two million foreclosures expected by the end of 2008, there will be more homes on the market looking for buyers. This combination of greater housing supply and less money available to pay for the houses will lead to an inevitable drop in prices in the next year or two, I believe.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates, a management consulting and venture capital firm. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in Countrywide securities.

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more news on the developing mortgage meltdown.

More Countrywide Financial news

Douglas McIntyre: Countrywide (CFC) hires a PR firm
Eric Buscemi: Countrywide (CFC) showing some class and good business sense
Peter Cohan: Is Countrywide (CFC) too big to fail?
Zac Bissonnette: Let Mozilo provide Countrywide (CFC) with cash
Douglas McIntyre: Could subprime problems hurt search engines?
Peter Cohan: Is Bank of America's (BAC) purchase of Countrywide Financial (CFC) a good bet?
Joseph Lazzaro: The (still) foggy subprime mortgage sector
Eric Buscemi: George Bailey, meet Angelo Mozilo
Michael Fowlkes: Countrywide Financial (CFC) adds to subprime panic
Peter Cohan: Could Countrywide Financial (CFC) be put down?

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Last updated: November 22, 2009: 04:07 AM

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