Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) opened at $84.50. So far today the stock has hit a low of $83.70 and a high of $84.67. As of 11:05, XOM is trading at $83.84, down $0.68 (-0.8%).After hitting a one-year high of $93.62 in July, the stock has retreated over the past month as oil prices have come down some. Jim Cramer expects oil to be strong over the next few days, especially as the Fed works to pump more money into the system. Though some investors are concerned about growth, Cramer says shortages will be the bigger issue, and that will only boost oil prices. Technical indicators for ExxonMobil are bearish but improving, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bull-put credit spread below the $70 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk and leverage returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in less than 2 months as long as XOM is above $70 at October expiration. XOM would have to fall by more than 16% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
ExxonMobile hasn't been below $70 since October and has shown support around $82 recently. This trade could be risky if the demand for crude oil tails off, but even if that happens, the stock could be protected by support just above $80, combined with the stock's 200 day moving average, which his currently at $78 and rising.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. DISCLOSURE: At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in XOM.



Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
8-21-2007 @ 2:22PM
john said...
I love the way that exxon is managed and it's valuations are great, it is in my portfolio, but you are late to the party! It was Drug companies in the mid 90's, then tech, then realestate, now it's natural resources.
8-21-2007 @ 4:57PM
Alastair said...
This Cramer ,who seems to have mesmerized every numbskull in the Nation into believing that all knowledge and the possibility of making money in the stock market emanates from his pronouncements, has lost it!! Daily, he becomes a growing embarrassment for CNBC. Perhaps, it is time to let him go back to Goldman Sachs.
He and the other traders on Wall Street whimpering and bleating for the Federal Funds Rate to be lowered are guilty of gross error and the height of irresponsibility. CNBC has become his agent in spreading this dangerous so-called resolution to the present credit and liquidity crisis.
Fed Chief, Ben Bernanke, must stick to his guns and not lose his manhood in responding to the criminals on Wall Street who would plunge this country into years of inflation in order to save their friends in the hedge fund industry. Contrary to Cramer's hysterically expressed view coming through his crocodile tears for poor homeowners , a fed funds reduction won't help subprime mortgage holders now anyway. It will help those who sold these mortgages to the poor souls in the first place, and lead to years of inflation.
8-22-2007 @ 7:23AM
i. stein said...
love exxonmobil, why dont they raise their dividend?