General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM) announced last night that it is cutting production at six plants in order to cut costs in the face of weaker sales, as noted by Brian White. The company is spinning the cuts, claiming that the lower production levels will allow for less overtime and the market seems to agree this morning. If you agree, it might be a good time to check out a bullish hedged trade on GM.After hitting a one year-high of $38.66 in June, the stock has seen two sharp drops over the past two months, finding support right around $30. This morning, GM opened at $31.54. So far today the stock has hit a low of $31.37 and a high of $31.85. As of 10:45, GM is trading at $31.43, up $0.10 (0.3%). The chart for GM looks neutral but deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bull-put credit spread below the $25 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 5.3% return in just 2 months as long as GM is above $25 at October expiration. General Motors would have to fall by more than 21% before we would start to lose money.
GM hasn't been below $28 at all in the past year and has shown support around $30.50 recently. This trade could be risky if the auto-making industry takes a big hit from the credit problems, but even if that happens, this trade could be protected by support around $29.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. DISCLOSURE: At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in GM.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
8-23-2007 @ 2:15PM
brettze@aol.com said...
Brian
It is moot to discuss GM or Ford as long as UaW and the management is still hashing it out the contract talks ongoing. It is the main focus today. Anything else doesnt matter as of now. I am waiting for them to come out next Sept 14 with a thumb up or down. Still, we would still be in the dark as UAW is always good at hiding things to be found out much later and too late..
8-24-2007 @ 4:32PM
van said...
Gm stock will double within the next 90 days, starting right after the 2007 negotiations are completed. GM will now have the flexibility to move products within the company to curtail costs. The profit margin(s) will greatly improve and the company will grow the business considerably with this contract........