Dean Foods (DF) losing its president and its milk money


Dean Foods NYSE: DF logoOn Wednesday, Dean Foods Company (NYSE: DF), the country's largest processor and distributor of milk and soy products, accepted the resignation of Alan Bernon, the president of the company's Dairy Group, in what may be the beginning of a large-scale reorganization to stave off further losses as the company moves into its 3Q earnings period. Dean Foods is losing its own milk money. The company is facing bottom-line difficulty, some if it self-caused. Earlier in the year, Dean Foods reported that net income, earnings from continuing operations and diluted EPS were all on the increase. Unfortunately, so were prices for raw milk, a significant expense for the company. Supply of organic milk far exceeded demand for the product, driving down prices. For reasons that remain unclear, at the end of 1Q 2007, Dean Foods recapitalized its balance sheet and increased its debt load to $5.3 billion. Senior management then paid out more than $1.9 billion, $15 per share, for a one-time dividend. This drove the stock up to $37.48. Immediately thereafter, the company began having finance problems that have continued into the second quarter.

Dean Foods posted 2Q earnings well off last year's numbers. Diluted EPS was $0.30, way down from one year ago EPS of $0.55. Adjusted net income dropped by almost half to $41.6 million. At the same time, interest expense doubled to $88.9 million for the quarter. Sales continue to increase while operating income continues to decline. Capital expenditures were down by $10 million. Unfortunately cash flow was down by almost 10X that amount, $95 million.

Dean Foods is still facing an oversupply of organic milk, and raw milk prices are already at record levels and forecast to continue to increase. Dean Foods' strategy thus far has been to pass on its higher commodity costs to consumers, but there is a limit to how much consumers will pay before complaining loudly to states' AG to investigate milk prices.

Dean Foods senior management still expects the company to meet the low end of its FY guidance of $1.52-$1.58, despite the fact that 3Q earnings will be lower than 2Q, $0.24-$0.28. Senior management also assumes that raw milk prices will DECREASE when there is absolutely no evidence to support this assumption. The bottom line is Dean Foods will not hit its FY guidance and needs to revise it downwards. From its high of $37.48, the stock closed yesterday at $26.60.

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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 02:04 AM

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