Here's a review of all the previous steps we took to get to $1 billion:
1997: Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO)
1998: Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN)
1999: Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM)
2000: Laboratory Corp. of America (NYSE: LH)
2001: NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA)
2002: MEMC Electronic Materials (NYSE: WHR)
2003: Akamai Technologies (NASDAQ: AKAM)
2004: Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD)
2005: SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK)
In 2006, the top stock was Akamai Technologies (again!), but for the sake of variety, we'll look at the first runner-up, Pittsburgh-based steel company Allegheny Technologies (NYSE: ATI). Last year, the stock was in the news after paying $17 million to acquire Garryson Limited from Elliott Industries. At the beginning of 2006, ATI was trading at $36.40. With the dollars in our portfolio, we purchased 12,332,536 shares to hold on to through the end of the year.
Outperformance in the base-metals sector and a strong final quarter helped lift ATI shares to $90.68, closing 2006 with a 149% gain. Lo and behold, our fantasy portfolio stood at $1,118,314,364. More than $1 billion in just 10 years.
As I said at the beginning of this exercise, it's an incredible stroke of good fortune to invest in the best-performing stock of a single year, let alone for 10 years running. So while nothing is impossible, the actions performed by this portfolio come pretty darn close. Still, it's a fun experiment to see that aggressive money management and picture-perfect stock selections can result in massive portfolio growth.
Thanks for reading! Now go figure out what the top stock of 2008 will be and shoot me an email.
Beth Gaston Moon is an analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research.
Seeking your own fortune? See Georges Yared's 25 stocks for the NEXT 25 years
10 years to $1 billion - How it was technically (if not logically) possible
Step 1: Yahoo! (YHOO), 1997
Step 2: Amazon.com (AMZN), 1998
Step 3: Qualcomm (QCOM), 1999
Step 4: LabCorp. of America (LH), 2000
Step 5: NVIDIA (NVDA), 2001
Step 6: MEMC Electronic Materials (WFR), 2002
Step 7: Akamai Technologies (AKAM), 2003
Step 8: Sears Holdings (SHLD), 2004
Step 9: SanDisk (SNDK), 2005
Step 10: Allegheny Technologies (ATI), 2006










Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
8-30-2007 @ 9:20AM
Elias Lam said...
i am new here that's all
8-31-2007 @ 10:51AM
trader said...
Small $ stocks try NEON
Large $ stocks try VMW
Then come back a year from now.
8-31-2007 @ 2:17PM
retiarius said...
Your mention of J. K. Rowling is apropos, since Harry Potter
was released in 1997, the starting date of the serendipitous
stock run. Since she was living on state benefits not much
earlier, her starting capital was similar before her 10-year
run to billionaire status. Great series, put into the perspective
of 20-20 hindsight vs. what can be accomplished with foresight
together with pluck.
9-02-2007 @ 1:05AM
Dan said...
This is yellow journalism. Try posting some useful info instead.
10-11-2007 @ 2:44AM
Vijay said...
Humans live on hope, and this article provides the kind of fantasy that those among us who venture away from the beaten path turn into reality. Great article Ms. Moon, thank you.