Cramer on Goldman Sachs (GS) and deal-making outlook


CNBC's Jim Cramer says that although there is a lot of worry about deals being held up in the market right now; they will get done, which will signal good times again for broker-dealer stocks like Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS). He says GS could be a good buy right now, trading at just 8.5 times earnings. If you are inclined to agree, then it could be a good time to get into a bullish hedged trade on GS.

After hitting a one-year high of $233.97 in May, GS shares fell sharply in July and August before rebounding off support around $163 in mid-August. GS opened at $176.18 and has hit a low of $176.18 and a high of $180.72 so far. As of 11:00, GS is trading at $179.94, up $3.93 (2.2%). The chart for GS looks bearish but improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

If you agree with Cramer, then for a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bull-put credit spread below the $140 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just 7 weeks as long as GS is above $140 at October expiration. Goldman Sachs would have to fall by more than 22% before we would start to lose money

GS hasn't been below $140 at all in the past year and has shown support around $170 recently. This trade could be risky if the financial crunch continues or the Fed does not lower rates this month, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by support around $165, where it bounced in August.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-24.922,902.31
S&P 500-10.571,341.38

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 04:16 PM

Hot Stocks

General Electric

18.86-0.27(-1.41)

Alcoa

10.28-0.36(-3.38)

Apple Inc

493.54+0.37(+0.08)

Google Inc 'A'

605.90-5.56(-0.91)

Bank of America

8.07-0.11(-1.34)

Wal-Mart Stores

61.85-0.11(-0.18)

Exxon Mobil Corp

83.72-1.16(-1.37)

Ford

12.43-0.26(-2.05)

Citigroup

32.93-0.73(-2.17)

IBM

192.15-0.98(-0.51)

Yahoo

16.14+0.14(+0.88)

Starbucks

48.785-0.415(-0.84)

Microsoft

30.47-0.30(-0.98)

Home Depot

45.275+0.005(+0.01)

DailyFinance Headlines

Benzinga Headlines

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

BioHealth Investor Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

DailyFinance BlackBerry App

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

BioHealth Investor Headlines

Page Loaded in 1328908599046 ms.