For Alan Greenspan, the market turmoil is deja vu all over again


The current market turmoil, including a worse-than-expected decline in U.S. employment, has a familiar ring to Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan.

In fact, Greenspan told a group of economists last night that the "behavior in what we are observing in the last seven weeks is identical in many respects to what we saw in 1998, what we saw in the stock-market crash of 1987, I suspect what we saw in the land-boom collapse of 1837 and certainly [the bank panic of] 1907," according to the Wall Street Journal.

Greenspan also noted that bubbles can't be defused by incremental adjustments in interest rates. But that's not going to give his replacement Ben Bernanke enough cover to avoid cutting rates, particularly when worrisome signs continue such as last month's decline in employment, the first in four years.

"The recession risk has certainly increased,'' Lehman Bros. (NYSE: LEH) economist Zach Pandl told Bloomberg News. "It definitely cements the case for a rate cut at the next Fed meeting."

Yeah, but don't bet on it happening.

Bernanke has good reason to fear that by cutting interest rates that the Fed would reward investors who took foolish risks. The data seems to suggest that the housing slump hasn't had a major impact on the overall economy. At least, that's the case for now.

The Fed views the economy the way that a doctor views a patient. Someone who is sick first is treated with antibiotics (the discount rate cut) and only heads into surgery (interest rate cuts) when a less invasive treatment fails. Bernanke also has to make sure that the interest rate cure that so many people want doesn't create more problems than it solves.

Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+85.3312,886.56
NASDAQ+26.342,930.22
S&P 500+9.361,352.00

Last updated: February 13, 2012: 02:53 PM

Hot Stocks

General Electric

19.055+0.18(+0.95)

Alcoa

10.33+0.04(+0.39)

Apple Inc

501.14+7.72(+1.56)

Google Inc 'A'

613.17+7.26(+1.20)

Bank of America

8.295+0.225(+2.79)

Wal-Mart Stores

61.89-0.01(-0.02)

Exxon Mobil Corp

84.53+0.73(+0.87)

Ford

12.60+0.16(+1.29)

Citigroup

33.33+0.405(+1.23)

IBM

192.98+0.56(+0.29)

Yahoo

16.140.00(0.00)

Starbucks

49.20+0.38(+0.78)

Microsoft

30.705+0.21(+0.69)

Home Depot

46.095+0.765(+1.69)

DailyFinance Headlines

Benzinga Headlines

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

BioHealth Investor Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

DailyFinance BlackBerry App

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

BioHealth Investor Headlines

Page Loaded in 1329162811607 ms.