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IBM mortgage subsidiary to expand presence

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IBM logoInternational Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) is higher this morning after subsidiary IBM Lender Business Process Services announced that the company has been approved to provide its mortgage technology services for government-insured FHA loans, a type of loan that is expected to increase in popularity as worries increase around the mortgage industry. If you think this means that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on IBM.

IBM has been climbing over the past 12 months, hitting a 52-week high of $118.89 last week. IBM opened this morning at $116.15. So far today the stock has hit a low of $115.60 and a high of $117.50. As of 10:50, IBM is trading at $115.67, up $0.12 (0.1%). The chart for IBM looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bull-put credit spread below the $100 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just 6 weeks as long as IBM is above $100 at October expiration. IBM would have to fall by more than 13% before we would start to lose money.

IBM hasn't been below $100 since April and has shown support around $109 recently. This trade could be risky if the technology sector takes a nosedive in the next two months, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock formed between $100 and $110 over the last 4 months, plus its 200 day moving average, which is currently at $102 and rising.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. DISCLOSURE: At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in IBM.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-36.658,146.52
NASDAQ+3.481,756.03
S&P 500-3.55879.13

Last updated: July 11, 2009: 04:29 AM

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