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As GM considers job cuts, UAW negotiations get tense

GM (NYSE: GM) and its rivals Ford (NYSE: F) and Chrysler have been exploring setting up a fund, managed by the union but financed by the car companies, to handle union member health-care benefits. The move would take tens of billions of dollars in liabilities off the companies' balance sheets, but funding it could take as much as $60 billion.

The union has not warned to this program as fast as GM would like, so it has proposed an alternative--huge job cuts. According to The Wall Street Journal (subscription required), this plan would results in "deeper, more-painful cuts." That would probably include jobs and benefits.

The deadline for the UAW negotiations to finish is September 14. While it would not be odd for talks to go beyond that, the tension between the car companies and union is likely to grow.

While the UAW management may be patient, its membership may feel otherwise. Benefits are important to them, but having jobs is probably higher on the list. Any hint of massive firings is likely to rub them the wrong way.

The union does not have to go straight to a nationwide strike to send its message. It could stage work stoppages at plants that produce popular cars which are in low supply.

And, then it gets ugly.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

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Last updated: November 24, 2009: 10:28 AM

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