Microsoft's (MSFT) Halo 3 launch to put final nail in Sony's (SNE) gaming coffin?


Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT)'s release of the gaming title Halo 3 is what I consider to be the last stand for the software company to make just a single penny of profit on its billion dollar-losing Xbox gaming division. For years now, we're heard from J. Allard and other Microsoft execs that the software sales would make money for the division while the company continued to sell Xbox hardware at a loss just to get it into the hands of customers. Ditto for Sony Corp. (NYSE: SNE), which reportedly takes a large hit on each PlayStation 3 sale. So far, Microsoft hasn't made anything from the sale of Xbox machines.

Microsoft even cinched up its position to make the profit in video game sales by purchasing Bungie Studios years ago, makers of the Halo game franchise. The Halo games have been crucial to Microsoft's Xbox success in sales (reportedly over 8 million consoles), because without it, the company would have to seriously be thinking about exiting that piece of the entertainment biz.


This time around, though, Microsoft is carefully marketing the last episode on the Halo trilogy while not watering down or diluting the brand and killing it with ardent fans. These fans are the single reason Microsoft has stayed in the Xbox business, and they do have billion-dollar worth if you think about it. Halo 3, though, will only work on the newer Xbox 360 (not the older "Xbox"), which will help drive hardware sales. Or so Microsoft thinks. Are most Halo 3 fans already Xbox 360 owners? We'll see soon.

But, with Halo 3's release comes a possible death knell for Sony. PlayStation 3 sales have been lackluster (due to the high price; seems pretty obvious), and there have arguably been no breakout franchises for Sony like Halo has been for Microsoft. So, after December of this year, Sony will have a pretty good picture on just how long it's going to stick its neck out with the PlayStation 3 as the company continues losing money on each one sold. Sir Howard Stringer, who has been viewed as somewhat ineffective so far in his role as Sony CEO, may have some hard decisions in 2008.

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