Alan Greenspan is taking advantage of his prominence and daily events in financial markets to get his name in the news. But his comments are a bundle of contradictions: he likes subprime, but not the securitization of subprime. And while he once defended derivatives a category of securities to which collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) belong, Greenspan now is backing off of his support of derivatives.
How exactly did Greenspan arrive at these contradictory positions? According to The Associated Press, Greenspan is defending the subprime mortgage market since it gives access to credit to those at the bottom of the economic ladder -- but he argued that the repackaging and sale to investors of risky home loans, not the loans themselves, were to blame for the current global credit crisis. Meanwhile, according to Bloomberg News, while Greenspan once touted derivatives "for diversifying risk," he now thinks that CDOs have lost their moorings by abandoning credit standards.
I think Greenspan is eager at this point to sell books and to minimize the damage to his legacy. But for all his efforts to have it both ways, he misses a key point in these comments: securitization pays investment banks and mortgage companies to originate mortgages and sell them. And since the credit risk ends up on someone else's balance sheet, the people who create the derivatives don't pay the price when they go south.
Until the costs of bad credit decisions are born by those who create the securities, Greenspan's bundle of contradictions will continue to make no sense for the global economy.
Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
10-02-2007 @ 5:31PM
Kristy Severance said...
I'm commenting on the Alan Greenspan contradictory positions post regarding subprime lending. I think the difference between the concept of subprime lending (which can be good) and what can happen with the ability to bundle and sell the subprime loans (which can be bad) is evident in the handoff of risk. These are not contradictory - one is the concept and one is what happened with mishandling of the concept. The sourcing company of the truly bad loans does not have the necessary incentive to source only good or excellent credit loans because once bundled and sold to another company as a loan portfolio, their risk has been handed off and they profit from the transaction (instead of the performance). That's my opinion - what's yours?