Hershey (HSY) - Cadbury Schweppes (CSG) deal in the works?

The Hershey Company's (NYSE: HSY) turmoil continues. After a continued decline in net income and stock price, the board, controlled by various Hershey trusts, announced yesterday its intent to take the steps necessary to reverse the trend.

The company has suffered an unfortunate coincidence of declining sales at the same time it is making a heavy investment in a new plant in Monterrey, Mexico. Ironically, the board killed a potential sale of the company several years ago, partly in response to fears that massive job losses in its American manufacturing plants might result.

Since then, the board has become more aggressive, while maintaining its firm intent to remain in control of the company. The Wall Street Journal's Julie Jargon [subscription] today reviewed the oft-speculated possibility that one of the companies that bid on Hershey's in 2002, Cadbury Schweppes PLC (NYSE: CSG), might split off its candy business and merge it with that of Hershey's. For such a deal to work, however, one of two things need to happen. Hershey could buy that portion of Cadbury Schweppes, which would require it to take on a heavy debt load that would be hard to justify given its recent performance, or the Hershey board will have to change its mind about selling off the business.

Given Hershey's new manufacturing capacity, such a merger makes even more sense in terms of production and logistics. Not coincidentally, the company announced last week that CEO Richard Lenny will retire at the end of the year. Look for the board to hire a new CEO who can find a way to structure such a deal.