Citigroup's risk management models didn't hold up


Citigroup, Inc. (NYSE: C) saw a 57% drop in its Q3 profit as reported yesterday, which unfortunately should not come as any surprise to long-term watchers of the financial services company. I continue to be amazed that current CEO Chuck Prince, who took over from the legendary Sandy Weil four years ago, has lasted this long with the up-and-down performance levels he led the company to in his tenure.

Peter wrote on this a few weeks back, and it's something I completely agree with. As a shareholder in this company, I'm calling for change. Wait, I did that already (years ago). Perhaps my luck will change after this summer's credit crunch sacked Citi in the gut.

Let's pour some more salt in the wound: after yesterday's quarterly meltdown, the financial services behemoth acknowledged that the risk management models it has in place to prevent the kind of nuttiness bestowed upon it by the subprime lending situation that's still underway failed the company.


Apparently, the swarm of executives and Harvard MBAs that currently occupy much of the portfolio management within Citigroup's corporate corridors didn't plan on such a subprime blowup. Anybody who's seen predatory lending in action or those ARMs being given to paycheck-to-paycheck families for those thrifty McMansions could have done a much better job. That's far removed from the experts on the Street, though. Heck, perhaps Citigroup could have hired George Costanza to do a better job, eh?

Here's some numbers: Citi wrote off $3.55 billion from its fixed-income business due to deteriorating securities prices, leveraged loans and bad trading bets, but the fun did not stop there: the company put an additional $2.24 billion in its pocket to cover future losses from failing mortgages and consumer loans. I guess it really did not think it would get this bad. News flash: it did.

[Disclosure: I own C shares as of 10-16-07]

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