Hershey (HSY) earnings not so sweet


Whoever said, "Don't buy the cow when you can get the milk for free," clearly wasn't working for The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY). The nation's largest candy maker -- with brands such as Jolly Rancher, Reese's, and Kit Kat under its umbrella -- said rising dairy costs contributed negatively to the company's bottom line.

This morning, Hershey reported third-quarter net income of $62.8 million, or 27 cents per share, a 69% drop from year-ago results. Excluding a restructuring charge of 41 cents per share, Hershey's would have earned 68 cents per share, or 3 cents south of the 71 cents expected on Wall Street.

Revenue fell 1.2% to $1.4 billion, on par with analysts' expectations. For 2007, Hershey now expects to earn between $2.08 and $2.12 per share, down from a prior outlook of $2.25 per share.
Increased competitive pressures also played a role in the firm's decreasing earnings. According to Sanford Bernstein analyst Alexia Howard, in the past 18 months, the company's market share has dropped 2 percentage points to 42%, while chief rival Mars -- privately-held parent of the M&Ms brand -- has seen its market share rise 1.6 percentage points to 26%.

In early trading, HSY shares have dropped nearly 4% to peg a new 52-week low. The equity has been drifting slowly lower since its May 2005 peak and recently violated its 80-month moving average for the first time since mid-2000.

Beth Gaston Moon is an analyst at Schaeffer's Investment Research.

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