I have been following BEA Systems (NASDAQ: BEAS) since the mid 1990s. What was once a cutting-edge, leading applications infrastructure play has turned into a me-too, has-been company. The worst part of it all, BEA thinks -- it actually thinks -- it is good! It's an arrogant company led by an arrogant management team.
I visited BEA three times from early 2000 to late 2004, and guess what? BEA was for sale and looking for a suitor even then. Management gives the illusion of wanting to go it alone, and yet several managers made it clear to me and my clients at the time that they would "listen to anyone" -- you know, the old fiduciary responsibility line.
Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) has been rumored since 2002 to be buying BEA Systems. I think the rumors were promoted by none other than BEA itself. In the meantime, Oracle was attempting to "research and develop" a competing product set versus BEA, but with Oracle being Oracle, it was not to be. Oracle has adopted a more productive strategy of acquiring companies, especially beaten-down ones, rather than developing its own in-house applications. At the end of the day, Oracle is a master of the database world and a C player in the apps world.
BEA Systems should thank its lucky stars and hitch up with Oracle as soon as possible. Playing the game of cat-and-mouse is a dangerous one as not that many other players are really interested in this has-been company.
In fairness, two things BEA brings to the table is a decent cash position and plenty of customers. The installed base has never been the issue with BEA; it's been a lack of any consistent growth strategy. The company has been rife with senior sales and marketing turn-over, thus sabotaging any attempts to deliver decent growth.
Give it up BEA: Oracle is probably your only option. Your days as a big-swinging you-know-what are long behind you.
Georges Yared is the CIO of Yared Investment Research and the author of Baby Boomer Investing . . . Where do we go from here?
Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
10-29-2007 @ 12:48PM
Steve said...
Its hard to figure out shareholder value when you're driving fast cars across China. If this guy is too irresponsible to drive a car in the US (see end of http://www.redherring.com/Home/16184), how can he be expected to fairly value an offer that's giving a huge premium over BEA's fair stock price (considering that its been inflated for a good while now on takeover rumors)?
10-29-2007 @ 12:49PM
Steve said...
Also, that China reference isn't one to his ethnicity but rather a function of what he does with his free time (acc. to insider info) since his driving rights in the US are limited by the board.
10-29-2007 @ 1:23PM
marklead said...
I'm surprised nobody is thinking EMC would buy BEA. It would tie in unbelievably well with ECC, Smarts, and NLayers.
10-29-2007 @ 10:40PM
BizIntel said...
I completely agree with this article. BEA needs to take the money and join Oracle, especially given the fact that they haven't even reported earnings for several quarters now due to options backdating, etc.
I see both benefiting from growth in the Service Oriented Architecture (SOA) space and economies of scale from the install base and sales pipe. Oracle is about growth via the acquisition model and it works: BEA, you would do well to join the ranks of Peoplesoft, Hyperion...and the list goes on!
Cheers,
BizIntel
http://www.evaluatingstocks.com