Yamana (AUY): An inflation hedge, and more

Here's a defensive/growth hybrid that, I am underscoring, is only for those investors who can tolerate at least moderate risk: it's not for the low-risk investor.

Historically, mining stocks in general and gold stocks in specific are not defensive plays. But Yamana Gold Inc. (NYSE: AUY) breaks the mold. Yamana operates mines in Central and South America with 7 million ounces of proven and provable reserves. In general, analysts project solid gold production gains for Yamana, with the company adding copper to its mining plans, moving forward. The Reuters F2007/F2008 EPS consensus estimate for AUY are 75 cents to $1.00.

Still, as one realizes, production is not the only factor in a mining company's success. The price of precious metals is just as important, and the argument here is that demand for gold will remain strong: driven by jewelry and industrial uses. And, of course, there's gold's use as an inflation hedge. (Gold traded Monday at $792.60 per ounce, up $5.10.) The aforementioned, combined with Yamana's cost containment, make a better-than-adequate case for AUY's shares.

[Note: Technical analysis agnostics stop reading here; all others continue.]

Technically, Yamana's chart is adequate. The stock has recovered from a summer sell-off and is above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.

Stock Analysis: Yamana is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Consider buying AUY's shares if you can tolerate moderate risk, but do not make AUY your primary defensive stock investment. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to buy it: $8.50.