Is Countrywide Financial messing with its numbers?
The stock soared last week after the company reported its quarter and Mozilo made optimistic predictions, but according (subscription required) to The Wall Street Journal, "some analysts warn that the nation's largest home-mortgage lender by loan volume hasn't gone far enough in marking down the value of mortgage securities it holds and may have trouble delivering on that profit vow."
A central part of the bear thesis is that Countrywide is offering very high rates on CDs, indicating that the company is desperate for cash, and can only acquire it by paying high interest rates.
With value investor Whitney Tilson offering to eat his hat if the company earns a Q4 profit, I wouldn't be touching the stock. With uncertainty surrounding the company's accounting/future, management integrity is a must. WIth that in question, I just don't think Countrywide Financial is a prudent investment here.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
10-30-2007 @ 2:13PM
David Huston said...
If the pundits are correct, sounds like more grist for the SEC mill. It certainly makes no sense that any mortgage intensive business will be profitable in the near term, given the state of the new and used housing markets. Remember the days when everyone was pushing refinancing as a way to eliminate those pesky credit card debts and car loans?