Records were set again as RealtyTrac released its foreclosure statistics for the third Quarter -- 446,726 homes nationwide were targeted with some type of foreclosure activity between the months of July and September. That's double the number facing foreclosure for the same period one year ago and 33.9% higher than the second quarter.
Nevada tops the list with one in every 61 households facing foreclosure. California's foreclosure filings hit one in every 88 households and Floridians face foreclosure in one of every 95 households. Other states hardest hit include Michigan, Ohio, Colorado, Arizona, Georgia, Indiana and Texas. Nationwide, one in every 196 households are facing foreclosure according to RealtyTrac. Indications are that many of these foreclosures are being driven by real estate investors rather than homes occupied by home owners.
RealtyTrac CEO James Saccacio issued a statement predicting that the situation will continue to worsen, "Given the number of loans due to reset through the middle of 2008, and the continuing weakness in home sales, we would expect foreclosure activity to remain high and even increase over the next year in many markets."
While that statement might sound bleak, I think the housing/mortgage crisis will last even longer. The current numbers are primarily based on subprime loans that are due to reset through 2008, but there is an even bigger crisis looming on the horizon impacting prime borrowers who took option ARMs. Option ARMs are due to reset to higher rates and higher payments in 2009 and 2010.
People using these loans don't even pay the full interest due and their loan balance continues to rise. With housing prices falling, these homeowners likely will have upside down mortgages and will not be able to refinance. If they want out, they will have to come up with cash at closing because they won't be able to sell their house for enough money to pay off the upside mortgage. If they can't pay the higher mortgage when the loan rate resets, foreclosure may be their only option.
Lita Epstein has written more than 20 books including, "The 250 Ways to Avoid Foreclosure" and the "Complete Idiot's Guide to Improving Your Credit Score."
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Reader Comments (Page 5 of 5)
11-01-2007 @ 9:15PM
Andrew Sainz said...
The biggest threat to the current foreclosure cycle is government taking any steps to "correct" it. Next, government may attempt to rescue stock market investers who lost money due to unwise investment decisions. It is far better to let the slide and number of foreclosures continue until the "true" market corrects itself, including clearly what will end up being siginificant personal and business defaults, consumers, homeowners, builders, property brokers, etc. All speculated on the "come" that bigger returns would somehow materialize and buyers/investers would be willing to pay whatever the market price. To have government or some other scheme now attempt to artificially bail out a natural market correction that must take place, regardless of the short term pain, would be not only irresponsible but forebode a truly long and devastating economic decline lasting not a year or two, but potentially until the end of the decade.
11-03-2007 @ 1:07AM
M. S. Gentile said...
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11-07-2007 @ 7:27AM
Catherine said...
Hi! I work at CurrentForeclosures.com a foreclosures site. It is hard to speculate, but with the observed increasing trend of foreclosure cases which has swept across many states, this crisis may last a bit longer.
11-07-2007 @ 5:57PM
owclist.com said...
I wonder what percentage of the foreclosures are non owner occupied properties? Home sellers are going to have to employ alternative marketing strategies to keep from going under. I believe the popularity of owner carry backs (owner contracts), lease options & rent to owns will flourish in the near future and for some time to follow. All the people in foreclosure may want to be home owners again before their credit will allow it. And what did I hear today? They want to make it more difficult to get a mortgage for everyone?
11-13-2007 @ 6:50AM
ken said...
As a real estate investor I see the paper trail of some foreclosures. These borrowers knew what they were doing when the cashed out their equity time and again and just blew the cash. To say that all foreclosures are the result of unscrupulous banks and unsophisticated borrowers is a disservice.
11-14-2007 @ 10:32PM
a flint said...
what happen to getting some plans to build, gett-
your neighbors, church members to help and build-
ing your own home. it will cost less and you will
move in with equity. now, a home eq. loan is a
bad loan. when you build yourself there will be things that need to be worked out. but if you are
careful you will pay 30%. the hipe is "you can't do
it so pay someone 150 per sq. feet", bull. i'm in the
business i know. some of these investors will pay
ten grand for a remolding job that i will do for three
i make a living doing jobs for less.
11-14-2007 @ 7:28AM
louis russo said...
my loan comes in feb 2008 by jan 1 2008 i have to be ready to make my move and refince bite the bullet on some closing costs and refinance my investment properties when they come due. i will however refi with bank or mtg company that has stayed away from the subprime disaster. Chase Mtg for one you can borrow my advisor nicholas.s.wagner@chase.com if anyone likes. Chase Mtg has been clean from these bogus mtgs. I advise my clients as well on what I would do myself as a realtor. Bank of America took a little hit but has plenty of money that it even could afford to bail out CountryWide so I feel good about them.
Just don't walk away from your home that is NOT the answer unless you want me to buy it at 50 cents on the dollar and then rent it back to you. That was tough love comment but true.
Don't wait for the roof to fall in on you or win the lotto, do something about it NOW.
L. Russo Chas. Sc Realtor