From the home office in Burlington County, New Jersey, I give you the top 10 reasons why the stock market is tanking yet again today.Number 10: Britney Spears. The beleaguered pop diva's new album Blackout is getting positive reviews, surely a sign that the nation is going to hell in a hand basket. If that doesn't cause people to sell their stocks and hide their money in holes in their backyard, I don't know what will.
Number 9: Britney Spears again. For those readers over 21, I should note that the latest single from the bad decision maker is called "Gimme More," which is certainly apropos to the market. Yesterday, the Fed cut interest rates, and pundits reacted the way my two-year-old nephew reacted when he got candy last night at Halloween. Yup, he wanted more. But the question is whether candy man Ben Bernanke will continue to dole out sweet, cheap money to fill up investors' plastic pumpkin pails.
Number 8: The housing market. Try as I might, I couldn't find a way to blame Britney for this one. About the only real estate market that's doing well are sheriff's sales. Home foreclosures doubled in the third quarter. As more adjustable-rate mortgages reset to higher interest rates, more people are bound to lose their homes.
Number 7: ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) and oil prices. Maybe it's karma or crack spreads but the world's largest oil company not only reported a decline in quarterly profit but its biggest decline in three years. Oil prices hit $96 per barrel today, and one economist predicted $120 oil next year.
Number 6: Fear and loathing on Wall Street. Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) showed Chief Executive Stan O'Neal the door. Now, analysts are worried about a possible dividend cut at Citigroup (NYSE: C) which may hasten the departure of that company's CEO, Chuck Prince.
Number 5: The weak dollar. Call me sentimental, but I miss the days when a dollar didn't get its butt kicked by the world's other currencies. I suppose it's good that U.S. goods and services are cheap, which certainly helps the earnings of the multi-nationals. It also helps the tourism business. But how long can our economy count on sales of foam "Number 1" fingers and MIckey Mouse ears for growth, since manufacturing grew in October at its slowest pace in seven months.
Number 4: You. That's right, you and countless people like you have a hand in the market's decline, and you should be ashamed of yourselves for keeping your money in wallets and bank accounts instead of spending it on goods and services. You tightwads have won the day for now, since consumer spending rose in September at a lower-than-expected rate.
Number 3: Political uncertainty. Many on Wall Street believe that if Hillary Clinton wins the presidency, she will unleash her legions of winged monkeys to raise their taxes and make their lives unbearable in many other ways. I think this fear is misguided, because as she showed at the recent debate, she can talk out of both sides of her mouth just as good as any Republican.
Number 2: The media. If the media keeps talking about Fed rate cuts, the declining dollar and the lousy housing market over and over again -- or in CNBC's case, yelling about it -- that can't be good for market psychology. If you tell people to worry, that's what they will do.
Number 1: FUD. Fear, uncertainty and doubt rule the day and will continue to do so for some time.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
11-01-2007 @ 1:56PM
Gumby said...
Jon
Our problems are getting worse because stupid journalists like you keep being objective about your writings. Isn't it about time you start becoming anally subjective about why commuters still refuse to carpool and bring the oil prices back down. Use expletives all you want to... Journalists you are all pussycats!!
11-01-2007 @ 3:01PM
Bill Pilker said...
Stock prices are too high. Real Estate prices are too high. Commodity prices are too high. Public and Private debt is too high. Taxes are too high. Interest rates are too low. Discipline is non-existant. Economic and societal imbalance is at an extreme. Change is a certainty.
11-01-2007 @ 6:09PM
Chuck said...
It is the Day Traders who just can't wait to cash in on the raise yesterday and sell off to make 98 cents on a share of
stock which they will buy back in a day or two. Plus the institutional investors who track the same trail!! They should
go to the local casino and dump their cash into the slots!!