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Before the bell: Down ahead of payroll report

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U.S. stock futures were lower this morning, indicating investors' cautious sentiment ahead of this morning's jobs report and following yesterday's selloff.

Yesterday, U.S. stocks nosedived due to several concerns including the downgrade of Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) by two analysts and Exxon Mobile (NYSE: XOM) disappointing results. Also, the growing thinking that the Fed may not cut rates again in a while contributed to the bearish sentiment as did a report about consumers spending less.

The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 362 points, or 2.6%, the S&P 500 lost 40 points, or 2.64% and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 64 points, or 2.25%. Financials were hardest hit and the the Federal Reserve was forced to step in with a $41 billion cash injection into the financial system -- one of its largest -- as credit markets conditions tightened again.


Overseas, markets in Asia and Europe slumped today, following losses on Wall Street. In Asia, most markets closed down around 2%, like Japan's Nikkei, with Hong Kong's benchmark index, Hang Seng, plunging 3.25%. Markets in Europe are now trading now about 1%.

What investors are most concerned with this morning, however, is the October nonfarm payroll report due out at 8:30.
Economists are expecting the report to show a sluggish pace of growth in the labor market with 80,000 jobs added in October, down from the 110,000 jobs added in September. A strong report will likely push stocks upward, although the balancing act between a hopes for a stronger economy (evidenced by a strong labor market) and something that may prompt the Fed to lower rates again may cause surprises in the direction the market will take after the report.
The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.7% and hourly earnings to grow 0.3%.
At 10:00 a.m., September factory orders will be released.

Meanwhile, the dollar kept slipping. The dollar is now headed for a fourth weekly loss against the euro, on speculation a U.S. government report will show slower employment growth and increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Against the British pound, the dollar also fell, as it did against 13 of the 16 most actively traded currencies tracked by Bloomberg today.

Financials will once again continue to focus the market's attention as The Wall Street Journal reported that Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) engaged in deals with hedge funds that may have been aimed at delaying when it had to record losses on risky mortgage-backed securities.

After Exxon Mobile (NYSE: XOM) reported disappoiting results yesterday, today is Chevron's (NYSE: CVX) turn. Viacom (NYSE: VIA) is also due to report today, just as Hollywood writers said they would strike for the first time in nearly 20 year.

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DJIA+37.4110,471.12
NASDAQ+7.882,177.06
S&P 500+3.841,109.49

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 11:31 AM

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