TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the Fed eases because of crisis and financial failure. Look, it's bad out there, if you are in the wrong sectors.
It's pretty darned good out there if you are in the right ones.
Thursday, one of the right ones -- oil -- got rocked by Exxon (NYSE: XOM) (Cramer's Take), and many of the wrong ones got rocked by just about everything.
Thursday was a day right out of 1990, when Citigroup (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take) and the other banks pulled the market down dramatically -- ex oils. I remember those days like now, and thought these days were the end of the world. And the world ended on quite a few days.
It is so hard to think that any of the market could go up when you have the financials crashing. But believe me, it can happen.
On days like Thursday, people always are skeptical of my bullish view, because 20% of the market is finance. I always come back with two things: one, that 20% is going to shrink considerably in this downturn, and two, the rest of the market ex-housing and retail is a big enough playground that you can make money. The fact that the Dow has so few financials -- AIG (NYSE: AIG) (Cramer's Take), JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) (Cramer's Take) and Citigroup bodes well, too.
Unfortunately AIG is really tough because there is no transparency. And Citigroup is dead until Chuck Prince is fired.
Citigroup needs to be dismantled. The acquisitions ruined the balance sheet and provided no growth. I am really angry at Bob Rubin because I know he held the key to Prince's removal and he refused to turn it. I said Prince would be out 10 days ago and it hasn't happened, but my sources as well as the sources of Doug Kass say it happens this weekend.
We are in a period where there can be no defense for any financials and what has held them up is the dividend prop. Thursday, that prop got taken away by the Citigroup call, and it will be called into question again soon as Washington Mutual's (NYSE: WM) (Cramer's Take) dividend approaches red flag levels.
I guess what I am saying is that there will be more days like this.
When they happen, you will question why you should ever own stocks. I am retorting that you need to own the right stocks and none of the right stocks are financials. Some of the decline Thursday had to do with the ridiculous way the media played the "no need to ease any more "story. That's ridiculous, because it, once again, buys into the notion that the reason why any central banker might stop easing is that the economy will rebound.
The economy's fine, domestic awful, export good. The reason why they ease is because of crisis and financial failure.
And I am telling you they have enough reasons on their hands right now to take rates to zero.
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Jim Cramer is a director and co-founder of TheStreet.com. He contributes daily market commentary for TheStreet.com's sites and serves as an adviser to the company's CEO. At the time of publication, Cramer was long Citigroup.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
11-02-2007 @ 8:54AM
Don Martin said...
I thought that little tantrum Cramer had on CNBC back in August was bad enough. This is really over the top, even for Cramer.
There are consequences to be had for misallocating capital. Surely all the telecoms and the dot.com had to take their punishment for misallocating capital in the late 1990's. So this cycle's ill-disciplined players were in the financials. And Cramer wants to open the monetary floodgates.
Think we should have to endure $200/bbl oil to save these guys?
11-02-2007 @ 9:26AM
mitch said...
kramer your a moran. stick to being a comedian and hands off financials that you know nothing about.
11-02-2007 @ 9:37AM
Roger said...
Who pads Jim Cramer's pockets to write nonsense that is only self serving to the greedy fools who caused this mess?
Doesn't Jim Cramer have enough years under his scalp to remember ANYTHING about STAGFLATION and the morrass that it brings?
11-02-2007 @ 9:46AM
chet alexander said...
Oh yea. Funds taken to ZERO. That would please all thae thieves on wall street. Cheap money.That's always good. If this keeps up we'll all be speaking Chinese.Or Russian. Way to go Kramer.
Chet
11-02-2007 @ 10:03AM
wildbill said...
One thing to be skeptical, quite another to a "0" point of view. As you say, the world economy is fine, except ours. It is not going to stay that way. Jim, you have your head in a dark place as you seem to be ignoring the fact that the currency gap is gorwing. How long do you think that this can continue until their exports get to high in price and they lose their market. When they do, they lay off and our exports cease to be bought. I think that you should at least wonder why Master Cards profits were mostly foreign. Is it possible that the rest of world is on a buying spree due to cheap U.S. goods? If so, they join the U.S. consumer - way in debt.
If you want to buy something - buy a solid water source, than you can grow food. Both are sure to remain in high demand.
11-02-2007 @ 10:05AM
Charley said...
There it is, finally. The confession that what Wall Street really wants is free money for itself. What happened to the 7 million homeowners facing foreclosure? What happened to "free market capitalism is the best path to prosperity?"
So now we know that, while the economy is fine, everything is going to Hell in a handbasket. This all reminds me of the Duchy of Grand Fenwick in "The Mouse that Roared," whose national emblem was a double-headed eagle that said "Yea" from one beak and "Nay" from the other.
Between "Mad Money," "Fast Money" and "Kudlow & Company," CNBC has become a very bad reality show about the current crop of self-absorbed Masters of the Universe. In a couple of years, its stars will hopefully find themselves on the already mountainous trash heap of financial history.
Charley
11-02-2007 @ 11:03AM
JohnA said...
The best thing for the Dow would be for it to retrace to the mid 11's where it has support. The runup first half of the year was not based on fundamentals, just unlimited, easy money, piling on a trend. When Cramer says that the Fed could cut to zero, I don't think he means that they should...I think he's saying that there are a plenty of shoes left to fall that will.
11-02-2007 @ 11:41AM
Don Clou said...
Is it better to make 200 million people suffer through skyrocketing inflation, leading to massive unemployment, and total financial devastation, than it is to let a few hundred super rich financial executives pay the price of making bad investments?
11-02-2007 @ 11:42AM
Don Clou said...
Cramer believes it is better to make 200 million people suffer the ravages of run away inflation,followed by growing unemployment, and financial devastation, than it is to let a few super rich financial executives reap the results of the seeds they sowed. This morning, he said on the TODAY SHOW that he is in the trenches with the Fed Reserve and they are going to continue cutting the rate despite the results to inflation. America- wake up, clean house, throw away this corruption.
11-02-2007 @ 12:34PM
W COBLE said...
IT IS TIME WE TOOK AMERICA BACK PEOPLE. OUR LEADERSHIP IS CORRUPT FROM GREED FROM THE PRESIDENTIAL LEVEL ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE POLICE OFFICERS. WE ARE LOSING OUR CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS EVERYDAY AND OUR EVERY DAY RIGHTS FROM NEW LAWS AND NOT FIGHTING BACK ON IMMORAL OR BAD DEEDS FROM OUR ELECTED OFFICAILS. IT IS TIME FOR THE TALK TO END AND ACTION TO BEGIN AND WHEN WE DO IT WILL ALL BE BETTER. THIS HAS GOT TO STOP NOW FOR ALL OF OUR SAKE AND OUR CHILDRENS AND THEIR CHILDREN AS WELL.
11-02-2007 @ 12:34PM
Jeff said...
"Is it better to make 200 million people suffer through skyrocketing inflation, leading to massive unemployment, and total financial devastation..."
YES. If that's what it takes to ground people to common sense... and vote out the fools who've extended their kingships at the stranglehold of those beneath them.
11-02-2007 @ 12:35PM
W COBLE said...
TO COMMENT : COBLEREMODELS@AOL.COM
11-02-2007 @ 11:26PM
Carletti said...
Rates to 0? No...I don't see that happening. I really do believe that if we want to get out of this, we need the U.S. consumer to step up once again. Yes, the current state of the U.S. financial system is in question. But we are not going to solve problems created under the oversight of over-ambitious, and extremely wealthy, CEO's by toying with interest rates. Restoring consumer confidence is key. Temporarily enabling credit to those with average credit is key. And keeping rates above 1-2% is necessary just to get the former off of life support.
11-03-2007 @ 9:13AM
The Team said...
Jim, Jim, Jim...... your visits to Universities are timely and helpful... now, after reading and listening to you a litte.. it is clear. You need to go back to school. Your hype and snake oil comments are a through back to the early 1800's. You really no nothing.
11-03-2007 @ 10:05AM
doug miske said...
The problem is that in the case of the financials, the consequence of "letting them pay for their lack of disciple" might be to punish a lot of innocent bystanders. The losses from the unfolding fiasco will inevitably be "socialized" via the political process.
11-07-2007 @ 3:50PM
Steve said...
Alot of people on this board think that the common people would suffer from massive inflation if rates were brought down big time just to save the greedy speculative ultra rich wall street bankers. While that may be true, the alternative is far worse. If we dont bring rates down, we will have a deep recession and maybe a depression. Why? the paper that these loans represent are not marketable. No one wants them. Most of these notes are getting paid on, but when the millions of borrowers get a rate reset notice, (which will happen per their mortgage contract, irrespective of what the fed does) there will be a massive wave of foreclosures that will sink this economy like the titanic....Its a choice folks...do we want massive inflation or a deep deep recession, maybe depression. The bottom line is that America has been chasing bubbles for 2 many damn years. We should have taken our medicine when the stock bubble burst in 2000. The only reason we didnt take our medicine then was all the sheep ran into another bubble-the real estate market. Eventually, there wont be any more bubbles to chase. Although I do feel that there is a massive bubble in the Hang seng market now, and that is substantially why the US dollar is collapsing and the price of oil is climbing, as the world gets out of our currency and into chinese currency to chase the chinese stock bubble.-already up 300 percent over the last 5 yrs. when that collpases, our dollar will rebound big time and the price of oil will come down hard...
11-07-2007 @ 6:00PM
owclist.com said...
I want to see Cramer's blog for today!!!!!!!