After a brief selloff yesterday, oil prices have been moving higher in today's action. Buyers have come back into the market today and pushed prices up as high as $95.00 earlier in the session, Prices nd are now up $1.20 to $94.69.The main reason why prices have turned higher today is optimism about the economy created by this morning's better than expected October payroll report. According to the U.S. Labor Department, October saw a 166,000 increase in payrolls, which was more than twice the 80,000 increase that analysts expected.
The better-than-expected payroll report was enough to create some optimism of the overall economy, and put some recession fears to rest. According to Michael Lynch, who is president of Strategic Energy and Economic Research Inc., "It suggests that concerns about the economy ... are overblown a little bit."
In addition to this morning's payroll report, prices are also getting a boost from geopolitical news such as America pushing for even tougher U.N. sanctions against Iran. Also, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice told Turkey that America considers the Kurdish rebels in northern Iraq to be a "common threat," which the U.S. would help fight. This has only added to concerns that violence is going to be increasing in the area, with the potential for disrupting supplies.
As if the above reasons weren't enough to push prices higher, the market is also dealing with possible supply disruptions from Hurricane Noel, a falling U.S. dollar, and cold weather moving in across the Northeast which will increase demand in that region for heating oil.
Is $100 oil on the way? I think so, and stand behind my opinion that it will be here by the middle of the month.
Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last two years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.











Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
11-02-2007 @ 1:54PM
John Smith said...
Will profits keep pace, though? I really think the news about ExxonMobil is very surprising.
11-02-2007 @ 2:05PM
Michael Fowlkes said...
It will definitely continue to apply pressure to refining margins. Like you noted, Exxon fell victim to this during its third quarter yesterday, and then again today we get the same news out of Chevron. Exxon was definitely surprising since they are so highly diversified
11-02-2007 @ 3:04PM
tom said...
come on this is crazy there is no reason for oil to go up. Not a penny, who ever who is doing this ,stop. You people make more excuses,than I have hair on my head. the weather, someone in saudi arabia is sick, a storm, low inventories, give us a break, you are destoying the world economy.
11-14-2007 @ 10:07PM
charles said...
As long as George W Bush is president, we will be paying high prices for oil. He attacked Iraq, price of oil went up. He said he MIGHT attack Iran, and the price of oil went up again. When get a president that is not tied to the oil market, the price will go down.