October industrial output falls 0.5%, most since January


Industrial Production fell 0.5% in October, considerably worse than the consensus estimate of a 0.1% production gain, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced Friday. It was the largest decline in IP since January 2007. Industrial Production rose 0.2% in September.

Meanwhile, capacity utilization --- which measures the percent of plants in use --- fell to 81.7% in October from 82.2% in September. Analysts had expected a 0.1%-0.3% rise in the utilization rate.

Production at factories declined 0.4%, utility production declined 1.6%, and mining output fell 0.6%. Also telling: production of consumer durable goods dropped 0.8%.

Analysts said the October industrial production decline adds to the argument that the U.S. housing sector's woes - - the most serious housing slump in more than a decade - - are beginning to spill over into the broader economy:

"The October industrial production statistic certainly is a disappointment. Combined with lower capacity utilization, it suggests the economy is slowing, and it's something that has to concern the Fed," economist M. David Chandler told Bloggingstocks. "This puts added focus on the November and December stats. If we see industrial production slowing in those two months, Q4 will come in very, very weak, and the U.S. economy will be growing at near-stall levels."
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Last updated: February 13, 2012: 02:54 AM

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