AOL Money & Finance

As OPEC talks currency, traders focus on supply

More

While some OPEC oil ministers who attended this weekend's Riyadh summit continued to express support for shifting a portion of their cash reserves to the euro and away from the dollar, oil market traders and analysts focused on OPEC's failure to boost oil production. This helped move oil prices higher in mid-day trading Monday.

Oil, which traded around $94.50, is priced in dollars, hence when the dollar falls, the purchasing power of nations with petro dollars declines. Some OPEC members, including Iran and Venezuela, voiced strong support for converting cash reserves to a currency other than the dollar. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad called the dollar a "worthless piece of paper," the Associated Press reported.

Still, most analysts viewed any attempt by OPEC members to reduce dollar holdings as largely self-defeating: selling dollars will only drive the dollar lower still, further reducing each member's oil-based purchasing power. The dollar fell to 1.4666 against the euro and 110.28 against the yen in mid-day Monday trading on the OPEC news, before recovering slightly.

Meanwhile, many traders looked past OPEC's currency reserve discussion to the all-important issue for the oil markets: production. At the meeting, OPEC turned aside suggestions to raise production quotas. As a result, some oil analysts say heating oil inventories could be pressured if the Northern Hemisphere experiences a cold start to its winter season. Heating oil gained 1.5 cents to $2.60 per gallon in Monday morning trading.

Oil Analysis: While OPEC's weekend discussion did cause the dollar to fall slightly Monday, most oil traders focused on OPEC's key variable in the oil price equation: production. Many traders still see the need for OPEC to increase production this winter to maintain an adequate safety cushion between global supply and demand. With OPEC having merely maintained current production quotas at the Riyadh summit, traders sense a tightening market for crude supplies in the winter months ahead, particularly if the heating oil-based northeast U.S. experiences a protracted cold snap at the season's start.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 26, 2009: 07:27 PM

BloggingStocks Exclusives

Hot Stocks

DailyFinance Headlines

Latest from BloggingBuyouts

TheFlyOnTheWall.com Headlines

BioHealth Investor Headlines

WalletPop Headlines

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

WalletPop Headlines