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HSBC not waiting for Paulson's Super SIV

Posted Nov 26th 2007 10:00AM by Peter Cohan
Filed under: Citigroup Inc. (C)

Bloomberg News reports that HSBC Holdings Plc (NYSE: HBC), Europe's largest bank, has decided to rescue its own $45 billion worth of Structured Investment Vehicles (SIVs). HSBC's plan lowers the odds that Hank Paulson's Super SIV plan to rescue the $320 billion SIV industry -- whose values Fitch reports have declined to 70% of their stated worth -- will succeed. The implications for Citigroup Inc.'s (NYSE: C) $80 billion worth of SIVs are also potentially scary.

Specifically, HSBC will sell bonds to finance the purchase of two SIVs -- Cullinan Finance Ltd. and Asscher Finance Ltd -- taking on their $45 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). By August 2008, HSBC expects to provide the new company that buys the SIVs' assets with $35 billion worth of funding and loan facilities, thus removing the risk of a forced sale of the SIVs' assets because of declines in the net asset values. HSBC says, however, that investors will still bear the losses stemming from defaults in the underlying assets.

It seems to me that HSBC's move could have an impact on the Super SIV intended to bail out Citigroup. By encouraging the prompt sale of the SIVs, CDOs and MBSs, HSBC could provide a model that others may follow. If successful, HSBC's approach could supersede the Super SIV plan. I'd prefer to see the banks bail themselves out, rather than relying on the government.

If HSBC's plan succeeds, though, it could either restore liquidity to the market or simply get a first mover advantage over the Super SIV as it tries to entice buyers back to the MBS and CDO market.

One thing seems clear, HSBC's time frame of next summer means that this little SIV problem will be around for at least another year -- if not more.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He owns Citigroup shares and has no financial interest in HSBC.

Tags: c, cdo, citigroup, Hank Paulson, HankPaulson, hbc, hsbc, inthenews, mbs, siv, super siv, SuperSiv

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