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Citrix Systems (CTXS): Heartening numbers spur stock rise

Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) offers infrastructure software and services that enable enterprise-wide, on-demand access to information and applications. The company's software provides networked PCs and wireless devices with remote access to applications on a central server. Its programs also allow for load balancing, application development and resource management, in both Windows and UNIX environments. Citrix has more than 180,000 customers worldwide. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and IBM (NYSE: IBM) are featured partners.

Fourth quarter company news has been heartening. The firm reported better than expected Q3 numbers, issued solid FY07 guidance, announced new partnerships with Dell (NASDAQ: DELL), Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) and Business Objects (NASDAQ: BOBJ), and saw eight brokerages issue CTXS targets that averaged 27% above the current share price. The news kept the stock cycling through a positive 19 week trading channel. The price is currently consolidating at the base of that channel, where oversold CCI, MACD, Momentum, RSI and Stochastic technical parameters suggest the potential for a rise back toward the top. Correspondence of the stock's 200-day moving average to the base of the channel backs the rebound notion.

Brokers recommend the issue with seven "strong buys," 13 "buys" and five "holds." Analysts see a 16% average annual growth rate through the next five years. The CTXS Price to Book ratio (4.04), Price to Free Cash Flow ratio (20.61), Sales Growth rate (25.94%) and EPS Growth rate (41.38%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutional investors hold about 81% of the outstanding shares. The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index. Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $26.10 and $43.90. A stop-loss of $31.45 looks good here.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com.

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Last updated: December 02, 2008: 06:48 PM

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