CROCS Inc. (NASDAQ: CROX) shares are trading higher today after last night, the analysts on CNBC's Fast Money mentioned Crocs as oversold and with low valuation. One analyst, Karen Finerman, said she thinks the growth for CROX is not over. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on CROX.After hitting a one-year low of $20.68 last December, the stock hit a one-year high of $75.21 in October. CROX opened this morning at $43.06. So far today the stock has hit a low of $43.05 and a high of $43.95. As of 10:50, CROX is trading at $43.29, up $0.49 (1.1%). The chart for CROX looks bearish and steady.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a January bull-put credit spread below the $32.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. This particular trade will make a 6.4% return in just 6 weeks as long as CROX is above $32.50 at January expiration. Crocs would have to fall by more than 25% before we would start to lose money.
CROX hasn't been below $33 since May and has shown support around $38 recently. This trade could be risky if the stock starts to freefall again, but most of the investors who would bail probably already did so when this stock lost its momentum in October.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in CROX.
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
12-13-2007 @ 9:02AM
John said...
Yes Fast Money Likes crox,sounds like free publicity to get price up closer to a break even point!! The real fast money incrox has taken the money & ran the other way! (insiders)
12-19-2007 @ 10:33AM
John said...
Did you see how many insiders own 0 shares,hmm! where did rumor of production cuts til inventory reduces; hopefully 6/08 production will return!!!