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The problem with the Fed's rate cuts

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Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke What is the right number for interest rates? 4%? 3%? 2%? No one knows for sure, and that's the problem. Investors are becoming like Pavlov's dogs, frothing at the mouth at the mere thought of an interest rate cut. Once the Fed accedes to their wishes, they are satisfied for a while but wind up wanting more and more cuts.

As today's market action shows, these people are never going to be satisfied. The Federal Reserve lowered short-term interest rates by one-quarter point to 4.25%, the third cut since September. It reduced the discount rate -- the rate the Fed charges banks to borrow money -- by the same amount to 4.75%. "A large minority of economists had projected a half-point cut in the federal funds rate," according to the Wall Street Journal.

The Federal Open Market Committee also remains as worried as ever about the economy.

"Recent developments, including the deterioration in financial market conditions, have increased the uncertainty surrounding the outlook for economic growth and inflation," according to the statement from the FOMC. "The Committee will continue to assess the effects of financial and other developments on economic prospects and will act as needed to foster price stability and sustainable economic growth."


Wall Street didn't take this well. At last check, the Dow Jones industrial average was down nearly 300 points, some 2.18%, to 13,428.05. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 63.50, or 2.34%, while the S&P 500 slumped 37.30, or 2.46%, to 1,478.66.

Eric S. Rosengren, who heads the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, wanted to slash the target for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points, and apparently so did many investors who continue to fret about the housing market collapse, the credit crunch and high oil prices.

In an interview with Bloomberg News, Harvard University economist Martin Feldstein said. "The Fed has to be prepared to continue cutting rates as we go into 2008.''

But for how long? Won't these rate cuts become counter-productive at some point?

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Last updated: November 12, 2009: 07:19 AM

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